:Product: 3-Day Forecast
:Issued: 2025 May 27 0030 UTC
# Prepared by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, Space Weather Prediction Center
#
A. NOAA Geomagnetic Activity Observation and Forecast

The greatest observed 3 hr Kp over the past 24 hours was 3 (below NOAA
Scale levels).
The greatest expected 3 hr Kp for May 27-May 29 2025 is 5.00 (NOAA Scale
G1).

NOAA Kp index breakdown May 27-May 29 2025

May 27 May 28 May 29
00-03UT 2.00 1.67 4.00
03-06UT 2.67 3.67 4.00
06-09UT 2.67 5.00 (G1) 3.33
09-12UT 1.67 4.67 (G1) 3.00
12-15UT 1.67 3.67 2.33
15-18UT 1.00 3.00 2.00
18-21UT 1.00 3.33 2.00
21-00UT 2.67 4.00 3.33

Rationale: G1 (Minor) or greater geomagnetic storms are likely on 28 May
due to CH HSS onset. No significant transient or recurrent solar wind
features are forecast.

B. NOAA Solar Radiation Activity Observation and Forecast

Solar radiation, as observed by NOAA GOES-18 over the past 24 hours, was
below S-scale storm level thresholds.

Solar Radiation Storm Forecast for May 27-May 29 2025

May 27 May 28 May 29
S1 or greater 15% 15% 15%

Rationale: There is a slight chance for the greater than 10 MeV proton
flux to reach S1 (Minor) levels over 27-29 May.

C. NOAA Radio Blackout Activity and Forecast

Radio blackouts reaching the R1 levels were observed over the past 24
hours. The largest was at May 26 2025 1306 UTC.

Radio Blackout Forecast for May 27-May 29 2025

May 27 May 28 May 29
R1-R2 70% 70% 70%
R3 or greater 30% 30% 30%

Rationale: R1-R2 (Minor-Moderate) radio blackouts are likely, with a
chance for isolated R3 (Strong or greater) events over 27-29 May.



--- MBSE BBS v1.1.1 (Linux-x86_64)
* Origin: Outpost BBS * Johnson City, TN (1:18/200)

:Product: 3-Day Forecast
:Issued: 2025 May 30 0030 UTC
# Prepared by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, Space Weather Prediction Center
#
A. NOAA Geomagnetic Activity Observation and Forecast

The greatest observed 3 hr Kp over the past 24 hours was 7 (NOAA Scale
G3).
The greatest expected 3 hr Kp for May 30-Jun 01 2025 is 5.67 (NOAA Scale
G2).

NOAA Kp index breakdown May 30-Jun 01 2025

May 30 May 31 Jun 01
00-03UT 5.00 (G1) 4.67 (G1) 4.00
03-06UT 5.67 (G2) 4.33 4.67 (G1)
06-09UT 5.67 (G2) 4.00 4.00
09-12UT 5.00 (G1) 3.33 3.67
12-15UT 3.00 3.00 2.67
15-18UT 3.33 2.33 2.00
18-21UT 3.33 2.33 2.00
21-00UT 3.67 4.00 3.33

Rationale: G1-G2 (Minor-Moderate) geomagnetic storms are expected on 30
May due to influence from a negative polarity coronal hole. G1 (Minor) conditions are again likely on 31 May - 01 Jun due to waning coronal
hole effects.

B. NOAA Solar Radiation Activity Observation and Forecast

Solar radiation, as observed by NOAA GOES-18 over the past 24 hours, was
below S-scale storm level thresholds.

Solar Radiation Storm Forecast for May 30-Jun 01 2025

May 30 May 31 Jun 01
S1 or greater 10% 10% 10%

Rationale: There is a slight chance for S1 (Minor) or greater solar
radiation storms over 30 May - 01 Jun.

C. NOAA Radio Blackout Activity and Forecast

No radio blackouts were observed over the past 24 hours.

Radio Blackout Forecast for May 30-Jun 01 2025

May 30 May 31 Jun 01
R1-R2 50% 50% 50%
R3 or greater 10% 10% 10%

Rationale: There is a chance for R1-R2 (Minor-Moderate) radio blackouts,
with a slight chance for R3 (Strong), over 30 May - 01 Jun.



--- MBSE BBS v1.1.1 (Linux-x86_64)
* Origin: Outpost BBS * Johnson City, TN (1:18/200)

:Product: 3-Day Forecast
:Issued: 2025 Jun 02 0030 UTC
# Prepared by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, Space Weather Prediction Center
#
A. NOAA Geomagnetic Activity Observation and Forecast

The greatest observed 3 hr Kp over the past 24 hours was 8 (NOAA Scale
G4).
The greatest expected 3 hr Kp for Jun 02-Jun 04 2025 is 7.67 (NOAA Scale
G4).

NOAA Kp index breakdown Jun 02-Jun 04 2025

Jun 02 Jun 03 Jun 04
00-03UT 7.00 (G3) 4.33 4.00
03-06UT 7.67 (G4) 5.00 (G1) 4.00
06-09UT 6.67 (G3) 4.67 (G1) 3.33
09-12UT 6.33 (G2) 4.67 (G1) 3.00
12-15UT 5.00 (G1) 4.67 (G1) 3.00
15-18UT 4.67 (G1) 4.33 3.33
18-21UT 5.33 (G1) 4.00 3.00
21-00UT 4.33 4.00 2.67

Rationale: UP to G4 (Severe) geomagnetic storms are likely on 02 Jun
due to effects from a CME that left the Sun on 31 May. G1-G2
(Minor-Moderate) geomagnetic storms are likely on 03 Jun due to coronal
hole influence.

B. NOAA Solar Radiation Activity Observation and Forecast

Solar radiation, as observed by NOAA GOES-18 over the past 24 hours, was
above S-scale storm level thresholds.

Solar Radiation Storm Forecast for Jun 02-Jun 04 2025

Jun 02 Jun 03 Jun 04
S1 or greater 99% 75% 60%

Rationale: S1-S2 (Minor-Moderate) solar radiation storms are likely
persist over 02-03 Jun becoming likely on 04 Jun.

C. NOAA Radio Blackout Activity and Forecast

No radio blackouts were observed over the past 24 hours.

Radio Blackout Forecast for Jun 02-Jun 04 2025

Jun 02 Jun 03 Jun 04
R1-R2 65% 65% 65%
R3 or greater 15% 15% 15%

Rationale: R1-R2 (Minor-Moderate) radio blackouts are likely, with a
slight chance for R3 (Strong), over 02-04 Jun.



--- MBSE BBS v1.1.1 (Linux-x86_64)
* Origin: Outpost BBS * Johnson City, TN (1:18/200)

:Product: 3-Day Forecast
:Issued: 2025 Jun 05 0030 UTC
# Prepared by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, Space Weather Prediction Center
#
A. NOAA Geomagnetic Activity Observation and Forecast

The greatest observed 3 hr Kp over the past 24 hours was 5 (NOAA Scale
G1).
The greatest expected 3 hr Kp for Jun 05-Jun 07 2025 is 5.67 (NOAA Scale
G2).

NOAA Kp index breakdown Jun 05-Jun 07 2025

Jun 05 Jun 06 Jun 07
00-03UT 4.67 (G1) 3.33 3.33
03-06UT 5.67 (G2) 4.00 3.67
06-09UT 4.67 (G1) 3.67 3.00
09-12UT 4.00 3.00 2.33
12-15UT 3.33 3.00 2.00
15-18UT 3.00 2.00 3.00
18-21UT 4.00 2.00 3.67
21-00UT 4.00 2.67 4.67 (G1)

Rationale: G1 to G2 (Minor-Moderate) geomagnetic storming is likely on
05 Jun due to waning CME and CH HSS influences. G1 (Minor) geomagnetic
storming is likely again on 07 Jun due to CME influences from the 04 Jun filament eruption.

B. NOAA Solar Radiation Activity Observation and Forecast

Solar radiation, as observed by NOAA GOES-18 over the past 24 hours, was
below S-scale storm level thresholds.

Solar Radiation Storm Forecast for Jun 05-Jun 07 2025

Jun 05 Jun 06 Jun 07
S1 or greater 10% 10% 10%

Rationale: A slight chance for S1 (Minor) solar radiation storms will
persist through 07 Jun given the flare potential and history of AR 4100
in particular.

C. NOAA Radio Blackout Activity and Forecast

Radio blackouts reaching the R1 levels were observed over the past 24
hours. The largest was at Jun 04 2025 2328 UTC.

Radio Blackout Forecast for Jun 05-Jun 07 2025

Jun 05 Jun 06 Jun 07
R1-R2 45% 45% 45%
R3 or greater 10% 10% 10%

Rationale: A chance for R1-2 (Minor-Moderate) radio blackouts, with a
slight chance for an isolated R3 (Strong) event, will persist through 07
Jun.



--- MBSE BBS v1.1.1 (Linux-x86_64)
* Origin: Outpost BBS * Johnson City, TN (1:18/200)

:Product: 3-Day Forecast
:Issued: 2025 Jun 08 0030 UTC
# Prepared by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, Space Weather Prediction Center
#
A. NOAA Geomagnetic Activity Observation and Forecast

The greatest observed 3 hr Kp over the past 24 hours was 5 (NOAA Scale
G1).
The greatest expected 3 hr Kp for Jun 08-Jun 10 2025 is 5.00 (NOAA Scale
G1).

NOAA Kp index breakdown Jun 08-Jun 10 2025

Jun 08 Jun 09 Jun 10
00-03UT 4.67 (G1) 4.00 3.67
03-06UT 4.00 4.00 3.00
06-09UT 3.33 5.00 (G1) 2.67
09-12UT 3.67 3.67 2.33
12-15UT 2.33 3.33 2.00
15-18UT 2.67 2.33 2.33
18-21UT 3.00 2.67 2.33
21-00UT 3.00 3.00 2.33

Rationale: G1 (Minor) geomagnetic storms are likely on 08-09 Jun due to transient influence.

B. NOAA Solar Radiation Activity Observation and Forecast

Solar radiation, as observed by NOAA GOES-18 over the past 24 hours, was
below S-scale storm level thresholds.

Solar Radiation Storm Forecast for Jun 08-Jun 10 2025

Jun 08 Jun 09 Jun 10
S1 or greater 5% 5% 5%

Rationale: No S1 (Minor) or greater solar radiation storms are expected.
No significant active region activity favorable for radiation storm
production is forecast.

C. NOAA Radio Blackout Activity and Forecast

No radio blackouts were observed over the past 24 hours.

Radio Blackout Forecast for Jun 08-Jun 10 2025

Jun 08 Jun 09 Jun 10
R1-R2 30% 35% 35%
R3 or greater 5% 5% 5%

Rationale: A chance exists for R1-R2 (Minor-Moderate) radio blackouts
over 08-10 Jun.



--- MBSE BBS v1.1.1 (Linux-x86_64)
* Origin: Outpost BBS * Johnson City, TN (1:18/200)

:Product: 3-Day Forecast
:Issued: 2025 Jun 11 0030 UTC
# Prepared by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, Space Weather Prediction Center
#
A. NOAA Geomagnetic Activity Observation and Forecast

The greatest observed 3 hr Kp over the past 24 hours was 3 (below NOAA
Scale levels).
The greatest expected 3 hr Kp for Jun 11-Jun 13 2025 is 4.00 (below NOAA
Scale levels).

NOAA Kp index breakdown Jun 11-Jun 13 2025

Jun 11 Jun 12 Jun 13
00-03UT 2.33 2.33 3.67
03-06UT 3.00 2.67 3.33
06-09UT 2.67 1.67 3.33
09-12UT 2.33 2.00 2.67
12-15UT 1.33 2.00 2.67
15-18UT 1.00 2.00 2.67
18-21UT 3.33 2.00 3.00
21-00UT 4.00 2.67 2.33

Rationale: No G1 (Minor) or greater geomagnetic storms are expected. No significant transient or recurrent solar wind features are forecast.

B. NOAA Solar Radiation Activity Observation and Forecast

Solar radiation, as observed by NOAA GOES-18 over the past 24 hours, was
below S-scale storm level thresholds.

Solar Radiation Storm Forecast for Jun 11-Jun 13 2025

Jun 11 Jun 12 Jun 13
S1 or greater 5% 5% 5%

Rationale: No S1 (Minor) or greater solar radiation storms are expected.
No significant active region activity favorable for radiation storm
production is forecast.

C. NOAA Radio Blackout Activity and Forecast

No radio blackouts were observed over the past 24 hours.

Radio Blackout Forecast for Jun 11-Jun 13 2025

Jun 11 Jun 12 Jun 13
R1-R2 35% 35% 35%
R3 or greater 5% 5% 5%

Rationale: There is a chance for R1-R2 (Minor-Moderate) radio blackouts
all three days.



--- MBSE BBS v1.1.1 (Linux-x86_64)
* Origin: Outpost BBS * Johnson City, TN (1:18/200)

Keeping my fingers crossed the band will be in better shape for ARRL Field Day!

Rug Rat (Brent Hendricks)
Blog and Forums - www.catracing.org
IMAGE BBS! 3.0 - bbs.catracing.org 6400
C-Net Amiga BBS - bbs.catracing.org 6840
--- CNet/5
* Origin: The Rat's Den BBS (1:135/250)

:Product: 3-Day Forecast
:Issued: 2025 Jun 14 0030 UTC
# Prepared by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, Space Weather Prediction Center
#
A. NOAA Geomagnetic Activity Observation and Forecast

The greatest observed 3 hr Kp over the past 24 hours was 6 (NOAA Scale
G2).
The greatest expected 3 hr Kp for Jun 14-Jun 16 2025 is 6.00 (NOAA Scale
G2).

NOAA Kp index breakdown Jun 14-Jun 16 2025

Jun 14 Jun 15 Jun 16
00-03UT 4.67 (G1) 5.00 (G1) 4.67 (G1)
03-06UT 5.33 (G1) 4.33 4.00
06-09UT 5.67 (G2) 3.67 3.33
09-12UT 4.33 3.33 3.00
12-15UT 3.33 2.67 3.00
15-18UT 4.67 (G1) 3.00 2.33
18-21UT 5.00 (G1) 3.00 2.33
21-00UT 6.00 (G2) 4.00 3.00

Rationale: Periods of G1-G2 (Minor-Moderate) geomagnetic storms are
expected on 14 Jun due to CME and CH HSS influences. Periods of G1
(Minor) storming are likely on 15-16 Jun due to CH HSS influences.

B. NOAA Solar Radiation Activity Observation and Forecast

Solar radiation, as observed by NOAA GOES-18 over the past 24 hours, was
below S-scale storm level thresholds.

Solar Radiation Storm Forecast for Jun 14-Jun 16 2025

Jun 14 Jun 15 Jun 16
S1 or greater 5% 5% 5%

Rationale: No S1 (Minor) or greater solar radiation storms are expected.
No significant active region activity favorable for radiation storm
production is forecast.

C. NOAA Radio Blackout Activity and Forecast

Radio blackouts reaching the R1 levels were observed over the past 24
hours. The largest was at Jun 13 2025 2110 UTC.

Radio Blackout Forecast for Jun 14-Jun 16 2025

Jun 14 Jun 15 Jun 16
R1-R2 40% 40% 40%
R3 or greater 5% 5% 5%

Rationale: There is a chance for R1-R2 (Minor-Moderate) radio blackouts
over 14-16 Jun.



--- MBSE BBS v1.1.1 (Linux-x86_64)
* Origin: Outpost BBS * Johnson City, TN (1:18/200)

:Product: 3-Day Forecast
:Issued: 2025 Jun 17 0030 UTC
# Prepared by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, Space Weather Prediction Center
#
A. NOAA Geomagnetic Activity Observation and Forecast

The greatest observed 3 hr Kp over the past 24 hours was 4 (below NOAA
Scale levels).
The greatest expected 3 hr Kp for Jun 17-Jun 19 2025 is 4.33 (below NOAA
Scale levels).

NOAA Kp index breakdown Jun 17-Jun 19 2025

Jun 17 Jun 18 Jun 19
00-03UT 3.00 3.33 3.33
03-06UT 3.67 3.00 2.00
06-09UT 2.67 2.00 2.00
09-12UT 2.67 2.33 3.00
12-15UT 2.33 2.67 3.00
15-18UT 1.67 3.33 3.33
18-21UT 0.67 4.00 3.33
21-00UT 1.00 4.33 3.33

Rationale: No G1 (Minor) or greater geomagnetic storms are expected. No significant transient or recurrent solar wind features are forecast.

B. NOAA Solar Radiation Activity Observation and Forecast

Solar radiation, as observed by NOAA GOES-18 over the past 24 hours, was
below S-scale storm level thresholds.

Solar Radiation Storm Forecast for Jun 17-Jun 19 2025

Jun 17 Jun 18 Jun 19
S1 or greater 30% 15% 5%

Rationale: There is a decreasing chance for S1 (Minor) or greater solar radiation storms over the next three days.

C. NOAA Radio Blackout Activity and Forecast

Radio blackouts reaching the R2 levels were observed over the past 24
hours. The largest was at Jun 16 2025 0938 UTC.

Radio Blackout Forecast for Jun 17-Jun 19 2025

Jun 17 Jun 18 Jun 19
R1-R2 75% 75% 70%
R3 or greater 30% 30% 30%

Rationale: R1-R2 (Minor-Moderate) radio blackouts are expected, with a
chance for R3 (Strong) or greater events, over 17-19 Jun.



--- MBSE BBS v1.1.1 (Linux-x86_64)
* Origin: Outpost BBS * Johnson City, TN (1:18/200)

:Product: 3-Day Forecast
:Issued: 2025 Jun 20 0030 UTC
# Prepared by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, Space Weather Prediction Center
#
A. NOAA Geomagnetic Activity Observation and Forecast

The greatest observed 3 hr Kp over the past 24 hours was 4 (below NOAA
Scale levels).
The greatest expected 3 hr Kp for Jun 20-Jun 22 2025 is 5.00 (NOAA Scale
G1).

NOAA Kp index breakdown Jun 20-Jun 22 2025

Jun 20 Jun 21 Jun 22
00-03UT 2.33 2.67 1.67
03-06UT 4.33 2.00 1.33
06-09UT 5.00 (G1) 2.33 1.33
09-12UT 4.33 2.33 1.33
12-15UT 3.33 2.33 1.67
15-18UT 3.33 2.33 1.33
18-21UT 2.33 2.33 1.67
21-00UT 3.67 2.67 1.33

Rationale: An isolated period of G1 (Minor) geomagnetic storms are
likely on 20 Jun due to positive polarity CH HSS influences and possible influences from a CME that left the Sun on 17 Jun.

B. NOAA Solar Radiation Activity Observation and Forecast

Solar radiation, as observed by NOAA GOES-18 over the past 24 hours, was
below S-scale storm level thresholds.

Solar Radiation Storm Forecast for Jun 20-Jun 22 2025

Jun 20 Jun 21 Jun 22
S1 or greater 10% 10% 10%

Rationale: There is a slight chance for S1 (Minor) solar radiation
storms over 20-22 Jun.

C. NOAA Radio Blackout Activity and Forecast

Radio blackouts reaching the R3 levels were observed over the past 24
hours. The largest was at Jun 19 2025 2350 UTC.

Radio Blackout Forecast for Jun 20-Jun 22 2025

Jun 20 Jun 21 Jun 22
R1-R2 65% 65% 65%
R3 or greater 15% 15% 15%

Rationale: R1-R2 (Minor-Moderate) radio blackouts are expected, with a
slight chance for R3 (Strong) or greater events, over 20-22 Jun.



--- MBSE BBS v1.1.1 (Linux-x86_64)
* Origin: Outpost BBS * Johnson City, TN (1:18/200)

:Product: 3-Day Forecast
:Issued: 2025 Jun 23 0030 UTC
# Prepared by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, Space Weather Prediction Center
#
A. NOAA Geomagnetic Activity Observation and Forecast

The greatest observed 3 hr Kp over the past 24 hours was 4 (below NOAA
Scale levels).
The greatest expected 3 hr Kp for Jun 23-Jun 25 2025 is 4.67 (NOAA Scale
G1).

NOAA Kp index breakdown Jun 23-Jun 25 2025

Jun 23 Jun 24 Jun 25
00-03UT 2.67 3.00 4.67 (G1)
03-06UT 2.00 3.67 4.67 (G1)
06-09UT 2.00 2.00 4.00
09-12UT 2.67 2.67 4.00
12-15UT 3.67 2.67 4.67 (G1)
15-18UT 2.67 2.67 4.67 (G1)
18-21UT 2.67 2.67 4.67 (G1)
21-00UT 3.00 2.00 4.00

Rationale: Periods of G1 (Minor) geomagnetic storms are likely on 25 Jun
due to the onset of negative polarity CH HSS influences.

B. NOAA Solar Radiation Activity Observation and Forecast

Solar radiation, as observed by NOAA GOES-18 over the past 24 hours, was
below S-scale storm level thresholds.

Solar Radiation Storm Forecast for Jun 23-Jun 25 2025

Jun 23 Jun 24 Jun 25
S1 or greater 10% 10% 10%

Rationale: There is a slight chance for S1 (Minor) solar radiation
storms over 23-25 Jun due to eruptive potential from multiple regions on
the visible disk.

C. NOAA Radio Blackout Activity and Forecast

No radio blackouts were observed over the past 24 hours.

Radio Blackout Forecast for Jun 23-Jun 25 2025

Jun 23 Jun 24 Jun 25
R1-R2 45% 45% 45%
R3 or greater 10% 10% 10%

Rationale: There is a chance for R1-R2 (Minor-Moderate) radio blackouts,
and a slight chance for R3 (Strong) or greater events, over 23-25 Jun.



--- MBSE BBS v1.1.1 (Linux-x86_64)
* Origin: Outpost BBS * Johnson City, TN (1:18/200)

:Product: 3-Day Forecast
:Issued: 2025 Jun 26 0030 UTC
# Prepared by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, Space Weather Prediction Center
#
A. NOAA Geomagnetic Activity Observation and Forecast

The greatest observed 3 hr Kp over the past 24 hours was 4 (below NOAA
Scale levels).
The greatest expected 3 hr Kp for Jun 26-Jun 28 2025 is 5.33 (NOAA Scale
G1).

NOAA Kp index breakdown Jun 26-Jun 28 2025

Jun 26 Jun 27 Jun 28
00-03UT 5.33 (G1) 4.00 3.67
03-06UT 5.00 (G1) 4.67 (G1) 3.33
06-09UT 4.00 4.00 3.00
09-12UT 3.67 3.33 2.67
12-15UT 3.00 2.33 2.33
15-18UT 3.00 2.33 2.33
18-21UT 4.00 2.67 2.67
21-00UT 5.00 (G1) 3.00 2.67

Rationale: G1 (Minor) geomagnetic storming is likely, with a chance for
an insolated G2 (Moderate) storming period, on 26-27 June due to
negative polarity CH HSS effects.

B. NOAA Solar Radiation Activity Observation and Forecast

Solar radiation, as observed by NOAA GOES-18 over the past 24 hours, was
below S-scale storm level thresholds.

Solar Radiation Storm Forecast for Jun 26-Jun 28 2025

Jun 26 Jun 27 Jun 28
S1 or greater 5% 5% 5%

Rationale: No S1 (Minor) or greater solar radiation storms are expected.
No significant active region activity favorable for radiation storm
production is forecast.

C. NOAA Radio Blackout Activity and Forecast

No radio blackouts were observed over the past 24 hours.

Radio Blackout Forecast for Jun 26-Jun 28 2025

Jun 26 Jun 27 Jun 28
R1-R2 30% 35% 35%
R3 or greater 5% 5% 5%

Rationale: A chance for R1-R2 (Minor-Moderate) radio blackouts, with a
slight chance for X-class flares (R3-Strong), will persist through 28
June.



--- MBSE BBS v1.1.1 (Linux-x86_64)
* Origin: Outpost BBS * Johnson City, TN (1:18/200)

:Product: 3-Day Forecast
:Issued: 2025 Jun 29 0030 UTC
# Prepared by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, Space Weather Prediction Center
#
A. NOAA Geomagnetic Activity Observation and Forecast

The greatest observed 3 hr Kp over the past 24 hours was 3 (below NOAA
Scale levels).
The greatest expected 3 hr Kp for Jun 29-Jul 01 2025 is 2.67 (below NOAA
Scale levels).

NOAA Kp index breakdown Jun 29-Jul 01 2025

Jun 29 Jun 30 Jul 01
00-03UT 2.67 1.67 1.33
03-06UT 2.33 1.67 1.67
06-09UT 2.33 1.67 1.33
09-12UT 2.00 1.33 1.33
12-15UT 1.33 1.33 1.67
15-18UT 1.67 1.33 1.67
18-21UT 2.00 1.33 1.33
21-00UT 2.00 1.33 1.33

Rationale: No G1 (Minor) or greater geomagnetic storms are expected. No significant transient or recurrent solar wind features are forecast.

B. NOAA Solar Radiation Activity Observation and Forecast

Solar radiation, as observed by NOAA GOES-18 over the past 24 hours, was
below S-scale storm level thresholds.

Solar Radiation Storm Forecast for Jun 29-Jul 01 2025

Jun 29 Jun 30 Jul 01
S1 or greater 5% 5% 5%

Rationale: No S1 (Minor) or greater solar radiation storms are expected.
No significant active region activity favorable for radiation storm
production is forecast.

C. NOAA Radio Blackout Activity and Forecast

No radio blackouts were observed over the past 24 hours.

Radio Blackout Forecast for Jun 29-Jul 01 2025

Jun 29 Jun 30 Jul 01
R1-R2 25% 25% 25%
R3 or greater 5% 5% 5%

Rationale: There is a chance for R1-R2 (Minor-Moderate) radio blackouts
through the period.



--- MBSE BBS v1.1.1 (Linux-x86_64)
* Origin: Outpost BBS * Johnson City, TN (1:18/200)

:Product: 3-Day Forecast
:Issued: 2025 Jul 02 0030 UTC
# Prepared by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, Space Weather Prediction Center
#
A. NOAA Geomagnetic Activity Observation and Forecast

The greatest observed 3 hr Kp over the past 24 hours was 3 (below NOAA
Scale levels).
The greatest expected 3 hr Kp for Jul 02-Jul 04 2025 is 5.33 (NOAA Scale
G1).

NOAA Kp index breakdown Jul 02-Jul 04 2025

Jul 02 Jul 03 Jul 04
00-03UT 4.33 4.67 (G1) 2.67
03-06UT 5.33 (G1) 4.33 4.00
06-09UT 5.00 (G1) 3.33 3.00
09-12UT 4.00 2.67 2.67
12-15UT 3.00 2.33 1.67
15-18UT 3.00 2.67 1.67
18-21UT 3.67 3.00 2.00
21-00UT 4.67 (G1) 3.67 2.67

Rationale: G1 (Minor) geomagnetic storm levels are likely on 02-03 Jul
due to the arrival of the 28 Jun CME.

B. NOAA Solar Radiation Activity Observation and Forecast

Solar radiation, as observed by NOAA GOES-18 over the past 24 hours, was
below S-scale storm level thresholds.

Solar Radiation Storm Forecast for Jul 02-Jul 04 2025

Jul 02 Jul 03 Jul 04
S1 or greater 5% 1% 1%

Rationale: No S1 (Minor) or greater solar radiation storms are expected.
No significant active region activity favorable for radiation storm
production is forecast.

C. NOAA Radio Blackout Activity and Forecast

No radio blackouts were observed over the past 24 hours.

Radio Blackout Forecast for Jul 02-Jul 04 2025

Jul 02 Jul 03 Jul 04
R1-R2 20% 15% 15%
R3 or greater 5% 1% 1%

Rationale: A slight chance for R1-R2 (Minor-Moderate) radio blackouts
due to isolated M-class flare activity will persist through 04 July.



--- MBSE BBS v1.1.1 (Linux-x86_64)
* Origin: Outpost BBS * Johnson City, TN (1:18/200)

:Product: 3-Day Forecast
:Issued: 2025 Jul 05 0030 UTC
# Prepared by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, Space Weather Prediction Center
#
A. NOAA Geomagnetic Activity Observation and Forecast

The greatest observed 3 hr Kp over the past 24 hours was 4 (below NOAA
Scale levels).
The greatest expected 3 hr Kp for Jul 05-Jul 07 2025 is 3.00 (below NOAA
Scale levels).

NOAA Kp index breakdown Jul 05-Jul 07 2025

Jul 05 Jul 06 Jul 07
00-03UT 3.00 2.33 3.00
03-06UT 2.67 2.67 3.00
06-09UT 2.33 2.67 2.00
09-12UT 2.00 2.00 2.00
12-15UT 2.33 2.00 2.00
15-18UT 2.33 1.00 1.00
18-21UT 2.33 2.00 0.67
21-00UT 2.67 2.33 1.67

Rationale: No G1 (Minor) or greater geomagnetic storms are expected. No significant transient or recurrent solar wind features are forecast.

B. NOAA Solar Radiation Activity Observation and Forecast

Solar radiation, as observed by NOAA GOES-18 over the past 24 hours, was
below S-scale storm level thresholds.

Solar Radiation Storm Forecast for Jul 05-Jul 07 2025

Jul 05 Jul 06 Jul 07
S1 or greater 1% 1% 1%

Rationale: No S1 (Minor) or greater solar radiation storms are expected.
No significant active region activity favorable for radiation storm
production is forecast.

C. NOAA Radio Blackout Activity and Forecast

No radio blackouts were observed over the past 24 hours.

Radio Blackout Forecast for Jul 05-Jul 07 2025

Jul 05 Jul 06 Jul 07
R1-R2 10% 10% 10%
R3 or greater 1% 1% 1%

Rationale: There is a slight chance for R1-R2 (Minor-Moderate) radio
blackouts over 05-07 Jul.



--- MBSE BBS v1.1.1 (Linux-x86_64)
* Origin: Outpost BBS * Johnson City, TN (1:18/200)

:Product: 3-Day Forecast
:Issued: 2025 Jul 08 0030 UTC
# Prepared by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, Space Weather Prediction Center
#
A. NOAA Geomagnetic Activity Observation and Forecast

The greatest observed 3 hr Kp over the past 24 hours was 5 (NOAA Scale
G1).
The greatest expected 3 hr Kp for Jul 08-Jul 10 2025 is 3.67 (below NOAA
Scale levels).

NOAA Kp index breakdown Jul 08-Jul 10 2025

Jul 08 Jul 09 Jul 10
00-03UT 3.67 1.67 1.67
03-06UT 3.67 1.33 1.33
06-09UT 2.67 1.33 1.33
09-12UT 3.00 1.33 1.33
12-15UT 2.67 1.33 1.67
15-18UT 2.67 1.33 1.33
18-21UT 1.67 1.67 1.67
21-00UT 1.67 1.67 1.33

Rationale: No G1 (Minor) or greater geomagnetic storms are expected. No significant transient or recurrent solar wind features are forecast.

B. NOAA Solar Radiation Activity Observation and Forecast

Solar radiation, as observed by NOAA GOES-18 over the past 24 hours, was
below S-scale storm level thresholds.

Solar Radiation Storm Forecast for Jul 08-Jul 10 2025

Jul 08 Jul 09 Jul 10
S1 or greater 1% 1% 1%

Rationale: No S1 (Minor) or greater solar radiation storms are expected.
No significant active region activity favorable for radiation storm
production is forecast.

C. NOAA Radio Blackout Activity and Forecast

No radio blackouts were observed over the past 24 hours.

Radio Blackout Forecast for Jul 08-Jul 10 2025

Jul 08 Jul 09 Jul 10
R1-R2 10% 10% 10%
R3 or greater 1% 1% 1%

Rationale: There is a slight chance for R1 (Minor) or greater radio
blackouts all three days.



--- MBSE BBS v1.1.1 (Linux-x86_64)
* Origin: Outpost BBS * Johnson City, TN (1:18/200)

:Product: 3-Day Forecast
:Issued: 2025 Jul 11 0030 UTC
# Prepared by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, Space Weather Prediction Center
#
A. NOAA Geomagnetic Activity Observation and Forecast

The greatest observed 3 hr Kp over the past 24 hours was 1 (below NOAA
Scale levels).
The greatest expected 3 hr Kp for Jul 11-Jul 13 2025 is 2.67 (below NOAA
Scale levels).

NOAA Kp index breakdown Jul 11-Jul 13 2025

Jul 11 Jul 12 Jul 13
00-03UT 1.67 2.33 2.33
03-06UT 1.67 2.00 2.00
06-09UT 1.33 2.33 2.33
09-12UT 1.33 2.67 2.00
12-15UT 1.33 2.33 2.00
15-18UT 1.33 2.67 2.00
18-21UT 1.67 2.33 2.00
21-00UT 1.33 2.33 2.00

Rationale: No G1 (Minor) or greater geomagnetic storms are expected. No significant transient or recurrent solar wind features are forecast.

B. NOAA Solar Radiation Activity Observation and Forecast

Solar radiation, as observed by NOAA GOES-18 over the past 24 hours, was
below S-scale storm level thresholds.

Solar Radiation Storm Forecast for Jul 11-Jul 13 2025

Jul 11 Jul 12 Jul 13
S1 or greater 1% 1% 1%

Rationale: No S1 (Minor) or greater solar radiation storms are expected.
No significant active region activity favorable for radiation storm
production is forecast.

C. NOAA Radio Blackout Activity and Forecast

No radio blackouts were observed over the past 24 hours.

Radio Blackout Forecast for Jul 11-Jul 13 2025

Jul 11 Jul 12 Jul 13
R1-R2 35% 35% 35%
R3 or greater 1% 1% 1%

Rationale: Solar activity is expected to be low with a chance for
M-class flares (R1-R2/Minor-Moderate) on 11-13 Jul, primarily due to the
flare potential of Region 4136.



--- MBSE BBS v1.1.1 (Linux-x86_64)
* Origin: Outpost BBS * Johnson City, TN (1:18/200)

:Product: 3-Day Forecast
:Issued: 2025 Oct 23 0034 UTC
# Prepared by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, Space Weather Prediction Center
#
A. NOAA Geomagnetic Activity Observation and Forecast

The greatest observed 3 hr Kp over the past 24 hours was 2 (below NOAA
Scale levels).
The greatest expected 3 hr Kp for Oct 23-Oct 25 2025 is 2.67 (below NOAA
Scale levels).

NOAA Kp index breakdown Oct 23-Oct 25 2025

Oct 23 Oct 24 Oct 25
00-03UT 2.00 1.67 2.67
03-06UT 1.67 1.33 2.67
06-09UT 1.33 1.33 2.33
09-12UT 1.00 1.33 2.33
12-15UT 1.00 1.33 2.33
15-18UT 1.33 1.33 2.33
18-21UT 1.67 1.67 2.00
21-00UT 1.67 1.67 2.33

Rationale: No G1 (Minor) or greater geomagnetic storms are expected. No significant transient or recurrent solar wind features are forecast.

B. NOAA Solar Radiation Activity Observation and Forecast

Solar radiation, as observed by NOAA GOES-18 over the past 24 hours, was
below S-scale storm level thresholds.

Solar Radiation Storm Forecast for Oct 23-Oct 25 2025

Oct 23 Oct 24 Oct 25
S1 or greater 10% 1% 1%

Rationale: There is a slight chance for S1 (Minor) solar radiation storm
levels to be reached on 23 Oct associated with far-sided events. Chances diminish by 24-25 Oct.

C. NOAA Radio Blackout Activity and Forecast

No radio blackouts were observed over the past 24 hours.

Radio Blackout Forecast for Oct 23-Oct 25 2025

Oct 23 Oct 24 Oct 25
R1-R2 15% 15% 15%
R3 or greater 1% 1% 1%

Rationale: There is a slight chance for isolated R1-R2 (Minor-Moderate)
radio blackouts through 25 Oct.



--- MBSE BBS v1.1.1 (Linux-x86_64)
* Origin: Outpost BBS * Johnson City, TN (1:18/200)

:Product: 3-Day Forecast
:Issued: 2025 Oct 26 0034 UTC
# Prepared by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, Space Weather Prediction Center
#
A. NOAA Geomagnetic Activity Observation and Forecast

The greatest observed 3 hr Kp over the past 24 hours was 4 (below NOAA
Scale levels).
The greatest expected 3 hr Kp for Oct 26-Oct 28 2025 is 5.00 (NOAA Scale
G1).

NOAA Kp index breakdown Oct 26-Oct 28 2025

Oct 26 Oct 27 Oct 28
00-03UT 2.00 2.00 4.00
03-06UT 1.67 2.00 4.67 (G1)
06-09UT 1.67 2.67 4.00
09-12UT 2.00 3.67 4.00
12-15UT 2.00 3.00 4.33
15-18UT 2.33 2.67 5.00 (G1)
18-21UT 2.67 2.67 4.33
21-00UT 2.33 2.67 5.00 (G1)

Rationale: G1 (Minor) conditions, with a chance for G2 (Moderate), are
likely on 28 Oct due to the anticipated onset of influence from a
positive polarity coronal hole.

B. NOAA Solar Radiation Activity Observation and Forecast

Solar radiation, as observed by NOAA GOES-18 over the past 24 hours, was
below S-scale storm level thresholds.

Solar Radiation Storm Forecast for Oct 26-Oct 28 2025

Oct 26 Oct 27 Oct 28
S1 or greater 1% 1% 1%

Rationale: No S1 (Minor) or greater solar radiation storms are expected.
No significant active region activity favorable for radiation storm
production is forecast.

C. NOAA Radio Blackout Activity and Forecast

No radio blackouts were observed over the past 24 hours.

Radio Blackout Forecast for Oct 26-Oct 28 2025

Oct 26 Oct 27 Oct 28
R1-R2 10% 10% 10%
R3 or greater 1% 1% 1%

Rationale: A slight chance for isolated R1-R2 (Minor-Moderate) radio
blackouts continues over 26-28 Oct.



--- MBSE BBS v1.1.2 (Linux-x86_64)
* Origin: Outpost BBS * Johnson City, TN (1:18/200)

:Product: 3-Day Forecast
:Issued: 2025 Oct 29 0030 UTC
# Prepared by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, Space Weather Prediction Center
#
A. NOAA Geomagnetic Activity Observation and Forecast

The greatest observed 3 hr Kp over the past 24 hours was 4 (below NOAA
Scale levels).
The greatest expected 3 hr Kp for Oct 29-Oct 31 2025 is 5.00 (NOAA Scale
G1).

NOAA Kp index breakdown Oct 29-Oct 31 2025

Oct 29 Oct 30 Oct 31
00-03UT 4.33 4.67 (G1) 3.67
03-06UT 5.00 (G1) 4.00 3.67
06-09UT 4.33 4.00 3.33
09-12UT 3.67 3.67 3.00
12-15UT 3.00 3.67 3.00
15-18UT 4.00 4.00 3.33
18-21UT 4.67 (G1) 3.33 3.00
21-00UT 4.00 3.33 3.00

Rationale: G1 (Minor) conditions, with a chance for G2 (Moderate)
levels, are likely on 29-30 Oct due to the anticipated onset of a CH
HSS.

B. NOAA Solar Radiation Activity Observation and Forecast

Solar radiation, as observed by NOAA GOES-18 over the past 24 hours, was
below S-scale storm level thresholds.

Solar Radiation Storm Forecast for Oct 29-Oct 31 2025

Oct 29 Oct 30 Oct 31
S1 or greater 1% 1% 1%

Rationale: No S1 (Minor) or greater solar radiation storms are expected.
No significant active region activity favorable for radiation storm
production is forecast.

C. NOAA Radio Blackout Activity and Forecast

No radio blackouts were observed over the past 24 hours.

Radio Blackout Forecast for Oct 29-Oct 31 2025

Oct 29 Oct 30 Oct 31
R1-R2 5% 5% 5%
R3 or greater 1% 1% 1%

Rationale: No R1 (Minor) or greater radio blackouts are expected. No significant active region flare activity is forecast.



--- MBSE BBS v1.1.2 (Linux-x86_64)
* Origin: Outpost BBS * Johnson City, TN (1:18/200)

:Product: 3-Day Forecast
:Issued: 2025 Nov 01 0030 UTC
# Prepared by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, Space Weather Prediction Center
#
A. NOAA Geomagnetic Activity Observation and Forecast

The greatest observed 3 hr Kp over the past 24 hours was 5 (NOAA Scale
G1).
The greatest expected 3 hr Kp for Nov 01-Nov 03 2025 is 4.00 (below NOAA
Scale levels).

NOAA Kp index breakdown Nov 01-Nov 03 2025

Nov 01 Nov 02 Nov 03
00-03UT 4.00 3.33 2.67
03-06UT 3.33 4.00 3.67
06-09UT 3.33 3.33 3.00
09-12UT 3.00 2.67 2.67
12-15UT 3.67 2.33 2.33
15-18UT 2.67 2.00 2.33
18-21UT 2.67 2.33 2.00
21-00UT 3.33 3.33 2.67

Rationale: No G1 (Minor) or greater geomagnetic storms are expected. No significant transient or recurrent solar wind features are forecast.

B. NOAA Solar Radiation Activity Observation and Forecast

Solar radiation, as observed by NOAA GOES-18 over the past 24 hours, was
below S-scale storm level thresholds.

Solar Radiation Storm Forecast for Nov 01-Nov 03 2025

Nov 01 Nov 02 Nov 03
S1 or greater 1% 5% 10%

Rationale: No S1 (Minor) or greater solar radiation storms are expected.
No significant active region activity favorable for radiation storm
production is forecast.

C. NOAA Radio Blackout Activity and Forecast

No radio blackouts were observed over the past 24 hours.

Radio Blackout Forecast for Nov 01-Nov 03 2025

Nov 01 Nov 02 Nov 03
R1-R2 25% 35% 45%
R3 or greater 5% 10% 10%

Rationale: There is an increasing chance for R1-R2 (Minor-Moderate)
radio blackouts all three days. A slight chance exists for R3 (Major) or greater blackouts on 02-03 Nov.



--- MBSE BBS v1.1.2 (Linux-x86_64)
* Origin: Outpost BBS * Johnson City, TN (1:18/200)

:Product: 3-Day Forecast
:Issued: 2025 Nov 04 0030 UTC
# Prepared by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, Space Weather Prediction Center
#
A. NOAA Geomagnetic Activity Observation and Forecast

The greatest observed 3 hr Kp over the past 24 hours was 4 (below NOAA
Scale levels).
The greatest expected 3 hr Kp for Nov 04-Nov 06 2025 is 4.67 (NOAA Scale
G1).

NOAA Kp index breakdown Nov 04-Nov 06 2025

Nov 04 Nov 05 Nov 06
00-03UT 2.67 1.67 2.33
03-06UT 2.67 1.33 3.00
06-09UT 2.33 1.33 3.00
09-12UT 2.33 1.33 3.00
12-15UT 2.33 1.33 3.00
15-18UT 2.33 1.33 3.33
18-21UT 2.00 1.67 3.33
21-00UT 2.33 1.67 4.67 (G1)

Rationale: G1 (Minor) geomagnetic storms are likely on 06 Nov due to
CME/HSS arrival.

B. NOAA Solar Radiation Activity Observation and Forecast

Solar radiation, as observed by NOAA GOES-18 over the past 24 hours, was
below S-scale storm level thresholds.

Solar Radiation Storm Forecast for Nov 04-Nov 06 2025

Nov 04 Nov 05 Nov 06
S1 or greater 1% 1% 1%

Rationale: No S1 (Minor) or greater solar radiation storms are expected.
No significant active region activity favorable for radiation storm
production is forecast.

C. NOAA Radio Blackout Activity and Forecast

Radio blackouts reaching the R2 levels were observed over the past 24
hours. The largest was at Nov 03 2025 1011 UTC.

Radio Blackout Forecast for Nov 04-Nov 06 2025

Nov 04 Nov 05 Nov 06
R1-R2 55% 55% 55%
R3 or greater 10% 10% 10%

Rationale: R1-R2 (Minor-Moderate) radio blackouts are likely, with a
slight chance for an isolated (R3-Strong) event through 06 Nov.



--- MBSE BBS v1.1.2 (Linux-x86_64)
* Origin: Outpost BBS * Johnson City, TN (1:18/200)

:Product: 3-Day Forecast
:Issued: 2025 Nov 07 0030 UTC
# Prepared by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, Space Weather Prediction Center
#
A. NOAA Geomagnetic Activity Observation and Forecast

The greatest observed 3 hr Kp over the past 24 hours was 7 (NOAA Scale
G3).
The greatest expected 3 hr Kp for Nov 07-Nov 09 2025 is 7.33 (NOAA Scale
G3).

NOAA Kp index breakdown Nov 07-Nov 09 2025

Nov 07 Nov 08 Nov 09
00-03UT 7.33 (G3) 4.67 (G1) 3.67
03-06UT 6.00 (G2) 4.67 (G1) 3.67
06-09UT 5.00 (G1) 4.00 3.00
09-12UT 7.33 (G3) 3.67 3.00
12-15UT 6.33 (G2) 3.33 3.00
15-18UT 4.67 (G1) 4.00 3.00
18-21UT 3.67 5.67 (G2) 3.33
21-00UT 3.33 4.33 3.33

Rationale: G1-G3 (Minor-Strong) geomagnetic storms are likely on 07 Nov,
and G1-G2 (Minor-Moderate) on 08 Nov, due to the effects of a coronal
hole combined with multiple CMEs.

B. NOAA Solar Radiation Activity Observation and Forecast

Solar radiation, as observed by NOAA GOES-18 over the past 24 hours, was
below S-scale storm level thresholds.

Solar Radiation Storm Forecast for Nov 07-Nov 09 2025

Nov 07 Nov 08 Nov 09
S1 or greater 20% 20% 20%

Rationale: There exists a slight chance for S1 (Minor) or greater solar radiation storms over 07-09 Nov due primarily to the eruptive potential
of Region 4274.

C. NOAA Radio Blackout Activity and Forecast

Radio blackouts reaching the R1 levels were observed over the past 24
hours. The largest was at Nov 06 2025 0431 UTC.

Radio Blackout Forecast for Nov 07-Nov 09 2025

Nov 07 Nov 08 Nov 09
R1-R2 80% 80% 80%
R3 or greater 35% 35% 35%

Rationale: R1-R2 (Minor-Moderate) radio blackouts are expected, with a
chance for R3 (Strong), due primarily to the flare potential of Region
4274.



--- MBSE BBS v1.1.2 (Linux-x86_64)
* Origin: Outpost BBS * Johnson City, TN (1:18/200)

:Product: 3-Day Forecast
:Issued: 2025 Nov 10 0030 UTC
# Prepared by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, Space Weather Prediction Center
#
A. NOAA Geomagnetic Activity Observation and Forecast

The greatest observed 3 hr Kp over the past 24 hours was 3 (below NOAA
Scale levels).
The greatest expected 3 hr Kp for Nov 10-Nov 12 2025 is 5.67 (NOAA Scale
G2).

NOAA Kp index breakdown Nov 10-Nov 12 2025

Nov 10 Nov 11 Nov 12
00-03UT 2.67 2.67 5.67 (G2)
03-06UT 3.00 3.00 4.67 (G1)
06-09UT 3.67 2.67 4.00
09-12UT 4.67 (G1) 3.67 3.67
12-15UT 3.67 4.67 (G1) 2.67
15-18UT 2.67 5.00 (G1) 2.67
18-21UT 1.67 5.67 (G2) 1.67
21-00UT 2.67 5.67 (G2) 2.67

Rationale: G1 (Minor) geomagnetic storms are likely over 10 Nov due to potential influence from a CME that left the Sun on 07 Nov. G2
(Moderate) conditions are possible on 11-12 Nov due to anticipated
influence from a CME that left the Sun on 09 Nov.

B. NOAA Solar Radiation Activity Observation and Forecast

Solar radiation, as observed by NOAA GOES-18 over the past 24 hours, was
below S-scale storm level thresholds.

Solar Radiation Storm Forecast for Nov 10-Nov 12 2025

Nov 10 Nov 11 Nov 12
S1 or greater 25% 25% 25%

Rationale: There is a chance for S1 (Minor) or greater solar radiation
storms over 10-12 Nov due to multiple complex regions the visible solar
disk.

C. NOAA Radio Blackout Activity and Forecast

Radio blackouts reaching the R3 levels were observed over the past 24
hours. The largest was at Nov 09 2025 0735 UTC.

Radio Blackout Forecast for Nov 10-Nov 12 2025

Nov 10 Nov 11 Nov 12
R1-R2 70% 70% 70%
R3 or greater 25% 25% 25%

Rationale: R1-R2 (Minor-Moderate) radio blackouts are likely, with a
chance for R3 (Strong), over 10-12 Nov due to multiple complex active
regions.



--- MBSE BBS v1.1.2 (Linux-x86_64)
* Origin: Outpost BBS * Johnson City, TN (1:18/200)

:Product: 3-Day Forecast
:Issued: 2025 Nov 13 0030 UTC
# Prepared by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, Space Weather Prediction Center
#
A. NOAA Geomagnetic Activity Observation and Forecast

The greatest observed 3 hr Kp over the past 24 hours was 9 (NOAA Scale
G5).
The greatest expected 3 hr Kp for Nov 13-Nov 15 2025 is 8.33 (NOAA Scale
G4).

NOAA Kp index breakdown Nov 13-Nov 15 2025

Nov 13 Nov 14 Nov 15
00-03UT 8.00 (G4) 4.67 (G1) 2.33
03-06UT 8.33 (G4) 4.00 3.00
06-09UT 7.33 (G3) 3.33 2.33
09-12UT 5.00 (G1) 3.67 2.00
12-15UT 4.33 3.33 1.33
15-18UT 4.00 3.00 1.33
18-21UT 4.33 3.00 2.00
21-00UT 4.67 (G1) 3.33 2.33

Rationale: G4 (Severe) geomagnetic storming remains likely, primarily
during the early hours of the 13 Nov UTC-day, due to ongoing CME
effects. Primarily G1 (Minor) to G2 (Moderate) geomagnetic storming is
likely thereafter, carrying on into the early hours of the 14 Nov
UTC-day as CME effects gradually wane.

B. NOAA Solar Radiation Activity Observation and Forecast

Solar radiation, as observed by NOAA GOES-18 over the past 24 hours, was
above S-scale storm level thresholds.

Solar Radiation Storm Forecast for Nov 13-Nov 15 2025

Nov 13 Nov 14 Nov 15
S1 or greater 99% 75% 45%

Rationale: S1 (Minor) to S2 (Moderate) solar radiation storms are
expected to continue through 13 Nov before decreasing to the lower ends
of the S1 (Minor) threshold over the course of 14 Nov as CME influences
pass beyond the near-Earth environment.

C. NOAA Radio Blackout Activity and Forecast

No radio blackouts were observed over the past 24 hours.

Radio Blackout Forecast for Nov 13-Nov 15 2025

Nov 13 Nov 14 Nov 15
R1-R2 85% 85% 85%
R3 or greater 55% 55% 55%

Rationale: R1-2 (Minor-Moderate) radioblackouts are expected through 15
Nov and are likely to be accompanied by isolated R3 (Strong) events as
AR 4274 makes it approach towards the western limb of the solar disk.



--- MBSE BBS v1.1.3 (Linux-x86_64)
* Origin: Outpost BBS * Johnson City, TN (1:18/200)

:Product: 3-Day Forecast
:Issued: 2025 Nov 16 0030 UTC
# Prepared by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, Space Weather Prediction Center
#
A. NOAA Geomagnetic Activity Observation and Forecast

The greatest observed 3 hr Kp over the past 24 hours was 3 (below NOAA
Scale levels).
The greatest expected 3 hr Kp for Nov 16-Nov 18 2025 is 5.00 (NOAA Scale
G1).

NOAA Kp index breakdown Nov 16-Nov 18 2025

Nov 16 Nov 17 Nov 18
00-03UT 3.67 3.67 3.00
03-06UT 1.67 4.67 (G1) 3.67
06-09UT 1.33 4.00 3.00
09-12UT 1.33 3.67 2.67
12-15UT 2.00 3.33 2.33
15-18UT 2.00 3.33 2.33
18-21UT 3.33 3.00 2.33
21-00UT 5.00 (G1) 3.00 2.00

Rationale: G1 (Minor) geomagnetic storms are likely over 16-17 Nov due
to the anticipated influence of a negative polarity coronal hole.

B. NOAA Solar Radiation Activity Observation and Forecast

Solar radiation, as observed by NOAA GOES-18 over the past 24 hours, was
below S-scale storm level thresholds.

Solar Radiation Storm Forecast for Nov 16-Nov 18 2025

Nov 16 Nov 17 Nov 18
S1 or greater 15% 10% 5%

Rationale: There exists a slight chance for S1 (Minor) or greater solar radiation storms over 16-17 Nov due to the eruptive potential from
Region 4274.

C. NOAA Radio Blackout Activity and Forecast

No radio blackouts were observed over the past 24 hours.

Radio Blackout Forecast for Nov 16-Nov 18 2025

Nov 16 Nov 17 Nov 18
R1-R2 60% 55% 40%
R3 or greater 20% 15% 5%

Rationale: R1 (Minor) radio blackouts are likely, with a chance for R3 (Strong), over 16-17 Nov due to the flare potential from Region 4274. By
18 Nov, there is a chance for R1 (Minor) radio blackouts due to the
flare potential from Region 4274.



--- MBSE BBS v1.1.3 (Linux-x86_64)
* Origin: Outpost BBS * Johnson City, TN (1:18/200)

:Product: 3-Day Forecast
:Issued: 2025 Nov 19 0030 UTC
# Prepared by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, Space Weather Prediction Center
#
A. NOAA Geomagnetic Activity Observation and Forecast

The greatest observed 3 hr Kp over the past 24 hours was 3 (below NOAA
Scale levels).
The greatest expected 3 hr Kp for Nov 19-Nov 21 2025 is 4.00 (below NOAA
Scale levels).

NOAA Kp index breakdown Nov 19-Nov 21 2025

Nov 19 Nov 20 Nov 21
00-03UT 1.67 1.67 2.00
03-06UT 1.33 1.33 1.33
06-09UT 1.33 1.33 1.33
09-12UT 1.33 1.33 2.00
12-15UT 1.33 1.33 2.33
15-18UT 1.33 1.33 3.00
18-21UT 1.67 1.67 3.33
21-00UT 1.67 1.67 4.00

Rationale: No G1 (Minor) or greater geomagnetic storms are expected. No significant transient or recurrent solar wind features are forecast.

B. NOAA Solar Radiation Activity Observation and Forecast

Solar radiation, as observed by NOAA GOES-18 over the past 24 hours, was
below S-scale storm level thresholds.

Solar Radiation Storm Forecast for Nov 19-Nov 21 2025

Nov 19 Nov 20 Nov 21
S1 or greater 1% 1% 1%

Rationale: No S1 (Minor) or greater solar radiation storms are expected.
No significant active region activity favorable for radiation storm
production is forecast.

C. NOAA Radio Blackout Activity and Forecast

No radio blackouts were observed over the past 24 hours.

Radio Blackout Forecast for Nov 19-Nov 21 2025

Nov 19 Nov 20 Nov 21
R1-R2 15% 15% 15%
R3 or greater 1% 1% 1%

Rationale: A slight chance for R1-2 (Minor-Moderate) radio blackouts due
to isolated M-class flare activity will persit through 21 Nov due to the
flare potential presented by AR 4284.



--- MBSE BBS v1.1.3 (Linux-x86_64)
* Origin: Outpost BBS * Johnson City, TN (1:18/200)

:Product: 3-Day Forecast
:Issued: 2025 Nov 22 0030 UTC
# Prepared by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, Space Weather Prediction Center
#
A. NOAA Geomagnetic Activity Observation and Forecast

The greatest observed 3 hr Kp over the past 24 hours was 3 (below NOAA
Scale levels).
The greatest expected 3 hr Kp for Nov 22-Nov 24 2025 is 3.33 (below NOAA
Scale levels).

NOAA Kp index breakdown Nov 22-Nov 24 2025

Nov 22 Nov 23 Nov 24
00-03UT 3.33 1.67 1.67
03-06UT 2.67 1.33 1.33
06-09UT 2.33 1.33 1.33
09-12UT 1.67 1.33 1.33
12-15UT 1.33 1.33 1.33
15-18UT 1.33 1.33 1.33
18-21UT 1.33 1.67 1.67
21-00UT 2.00 1.67 1.67

Rationale: No G1 (Minor) or greater geomagnetic storms are expected. No significant transient or recurrent solar wind features are forecast.

B. NOAA Solar Radiation Activity Observation and Forecast

Solar radiation, as observed by NOAA GOES-18 over the past 24 hours, was
below S-scale storm level thresholds.

Solar Radiation Storm Forecast for Nov 22-Nov 24 2025

Nov 22 Nov 23 Nov 24
S1 or greater 1% 1% 1%

Rationale: No S1 (Minor) or greater solar radiation storms are expected.
No significant active region activity favorable for radiation storm
production is forecast.

C. NOAA Radio Blackout Activity and Forecast

No radio blackouts were observed over the past 24 hours.

Radio Blackout Forecast for Nov 22-Nov 24 2025

Nov 22 Nov 23 Nov 24
R1-R2 15% 15% 15%
R3 or greater 1% 1% 1%

Rationale: There exists a slight chance for R1-R2 (Minor-Moderate) radio blackouts over 22-24 Nov.



--- MBSE BBS v1.1.4 (Linux-x86_64)
* Origin: Outpost BBS * Johnson City, TN (1:18/200)

:Product: 3-Day Forecast
:Issued: 2025 Nov 25 0030 UTC
# Prepared by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, Space Weather Prediction Center
#
A. NOAA Geomagnetic Activity Observation and Forecast

The greatest observed 3 hr Kp over the past 24 hours was 4 (below NOAA
Scale levels).
The greatest expected 3 hr Kp for Nov 25-Nov 27 2025 is 5.00 (NOAA Scale
G1).

NOAA Kp index breakdown Nov 25-Nov 27 2025

Nov 25 Nov 26 Nov 27
00-03UT 4.00 3.67 4.00
03-06UT 3.67 5.00 (G1) 4.00
06-09UT 4.33 3.67 4.00
09-12UT 3.67 2.67 3.67
12-15UT 3.33 4.67 (G1) 3.67
15-18UT 3.33 3.67 3.67
18-21UT 4.00 3.00 3.67
21-00UT 4.67 (G1) 3.67 4.00

Rationale: G1 (Minor) geomagnetic storms are likely on 25-26 Nov due to
CH HSS influences.

B. NOAA Solar Radiation Activity Observation and Forecast

Solar radiation, as observed by NOAA GOES-18 over the past 24 hours, was
below S-scale storm level thresholds.

Solar Radiation Storm Forecast for Nov 25-Nov 27 2025

Nov 25 Nov 26 Nov 27
S1 or greater 1% 1% 1%

Rationale: No S1 (Minor) or greater solar radiation storms are expected.
No significant active region activity favorable for radiation storm
production is forecast.

C. NOAA Radio Blackout Activity and Forecast

No radio blackouts were observed over the past 24 hours.

Radio Blackout Forecast for Nov 25-Nov 27 2025

Nov 25 Nov 26 Nov 27
R1-R2 15% 15% 15%
R3 or greater 1% 1% 1%

Rationale: There is a slight chance for R1-R2 (Minor-Moderate) radio
blackouts on 25-27 Nov.



--- MBSE BBS v1.1.4 (Linux-x86_64)
* Origin: Outpost BBS * Johnson City, TN (1:18/200)

:Product: 3-Day Forecast
:Issued: 2025 Nov 28 0030 UTC
# Prepared by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, Space Weather Prediction Center
#
A. NOAA Geomagnetic Activity Observation and Forecast

The greatest observed 3 hr Kp over the past 24 hours was 5 (NOAA Scale
G1).
The greatest expected 3 hr Kp for Nov 28-Nov 30 2025 is 4.67 (NOAA Scale
G1).

NOAA Kp index breakdown Nov 28-Nov 30 2025

Nov 28 Nov 29 Nov 30
00-03UT 4.00 2.67 2.67
03-06UT 3.67 2.33 2.67
06-09UT 4.67 (G1) 2.67 2.33
09-12UT 3.67 2.67 2.00
12-15UT 3.33 2.67 2.00
15-18UT 3.33 2.67 1.67
18-21UT 3.67 2.67 2.00
21-00UT 3.67 2.67 2.00

Rationale: G1 (Minor) geomagnetic storming is expected early on 28 Nov
due to persistent CH HSS effects.

B. NOAA Solar Radiation Activity Observation and Forecast

Solar radiation, as observed by NOAA GOES-18 over the past 24 hours, was
below S-scale storm level thresholds.

Solar Radiation Storm Forecast for Nov 28-Nov 30 2025

Nov 28 Nov 29 Nov 30
S1 or greater 1% 1% 1%

Rationale: No S1 (Minor) or greater solar radiation storms are expected.
No significant active region activity favorable for radiation storm
production is forecast.

C. NOAA Radio Blackout Activity and Forecast

No radio blackouts were observed over the past 24 hours.

Radio Blackout Forecast for Nov 28-Nov 30 2025

Nov 28 Nov 29 Nov 30
R1-R2 15% 15% 15%
R3 or greater 1% 1% 1%

Rationale: A slight chance for R1-R2 (Minor-Moderate) radio blackouts
will persist through 30 Nov.



--- MBSE BBS v1.1.5 (Linux-x86_64)
* Origin: Outpost BBS * Johnson City, TN (1:18/200)

:Product: 3-Day Forecast
:Issued: 2025 Dec 01 0030 UTC
# Prepared by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, Space Weather Prediction Center
#
A. NOAA Geomagnetic Activity Observation and Forecast

The greatest observed 3 hr Kp over the past 24 hours was 4 (below NOAA
Scale levels).
The greatest expected 3 hr Kp for Dec 01-Dec 03 2025 is 3.67 (below NOAA
Scale levels).

NOAA Kp index breakdown Dec 01-Dec 03 2025

Dec 01 Dec 02 Dec 03
00-03UT 3.00 1.33 3.00
03-06UT 2.33 1.33 3.67
06-09UT 3.00 1.67 3.00
09-12UT 2.00 1.33 3.00
12-15UT 1.67 1.33 2.00
15-18UT 1.00 1.33 2.67
18-21UT 1.00 1.67 3.00
21-00UT 1.67 1.67 3.00

Rationale: No G1 (Minor) or greater geomagnetic storms are expected. No significant transient or recurrent solar wind features are forecast.

B. NOAA Solar Radiation Activity Observation and Forecast

Solar radiation, as observed by NOAA GOES-18 over the past 24 hours, was
below S-scale storm level thresholds.

Solar Radiation Storm Forecast for Dec 01-Dec 03 2025

Dec 01 Dec 02 Dec 03
S1 or greater 10% 10% 10%

Rationale: There is a slight chance for the greater than 10 MeV proton
flux to reach S1 (Minor) levels through 03 Dec, due primarily to the
eruptive potential of Region 4294.

C. NOAA Radio Blackout Activity and Forecast

No radio blackouts were observed over the past 24 hours.

Radio Blackout Forecast for Dec 01-Dec 03 2025

Dec 01 Dec 02 Dec 03
R1-R2 70% 70% 70%
R3 or greater 20% 20% 20%

Rationale: R1-R2 (Minor-Moderate) radio blackouts are likely, with a
slight chance for an R3 (Strong) or greater event, on 01-03 Dec.



--- MBSE BBS v1.1.6 (Linux-x86_64)
* Origin: Outpost BBS * Johnson City, TN (1:18/200)

:Product: 3-Day Forecast :Issued: 2025 Dec 07 0030 UTC # Prepared by the
U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, Space Weather Prediction Center # A. NOAA
Geomagnetic Activity Observation and Forecast The greatest observed 3 hr
Kp over the past 24 hours was 4 (below NOAA Scale levels). The greatest
expected 3 hr Kp for Dec 07-Dec 09 2025 is 5.00 (NOAA Scale G1). NOAA Kp
index breakdown Dec 07-Dec 09 2025 Dec 07 Dec 08 Dec 09 00-03UT 2.67 3.00
1.67 03-06UT 2.00 5.00 (G1) 1.67 06-09UT 2.33 3.00 1.67 09-12UT 2.33 3.00
1.33 12-15UT 2.33 3.67 1.33 15-18UT 3.67 2.67 1.33 18-21UT 5.00 (G1) 2.00
1.33 21-00UT 4.00 2.00 1.33 Rationale: Isolated periods of G1 (Minor)
geomagnetic storming are likely on 07-08 Dec due to the anticipated
glancing arrival of a CME from 04 Dec. B. NOAA Solar Radiation Activity
Observation and Forecast Solar radiation, as observed by NOAA GOES-18 over
the past 24 hours, was below S-scale storm level thresholds. Solar
Radiation Storm Forecast for Dec 07-Dec 09 2025 Dec 07 Dec 08 Dec 09 S1 or
greater 10% 10% 10% Rationale: There is a slight chance for S1 (Minor)
solar radiation storm conditions on 07-09 Dec. C. NOAA Radio Blackout
Activity and Forecast Radio blackouts reaching the R2 levels were observed
over the past 24 hours. The largest was at Dec 06 2025 2039 UTC. Radio
Blackout Forecast for Dec 07-Dec 09 2025 Dec 07 Dec 08 Dec 09 R1-R2 65%
65% 65% R3 or greater 15% 15% 15% Rationale: R1-R2 (Minor-Moderate) radio
blackouts are likely, with a slight chance for R3 (Strong) or greater
events, on 07-09 Dec.


--- MBSE BBS v1.1.6 (Linux-x86_64)
* Origin: Outpost BBS * Johnson City, TN (1:18/200)

:Product: 3-Day Forecast :Issued: 2025 Dec 10 0030 UTC # Prepared by the
U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, Space Weather Prediction Center # A. NOAA
Geomagnetic Activity Observation and Forecast The greatest observed 3 hr
Kp over the past 24 hours was 2 (below NOAA Scale levels). The greatest
expected 3 hr Kp for Dec 10-Dec 12 2025 is 3.33 (below NOAA Scale levels).
NOAA Kp index breakdown Dec 10-Dec 12 2025 Dec 10 Dec 11 Dec 12 00-03UT
2.00 1.00 3.33 03-06UT 2.00 2.00 2.00 06-09UT 3.00 2.33 2.00 09-12UT 2.00
2.33 3.00 12-15UT 2.00 2.33 2.67 15-18UT 2.00 2.33 3.00 18-21UT 3.00 2.33
3.33 21-00UT 1.33 2.67 3.33 Rationale: No G1 (Minor) or greater
geomagnetic storms are expected. No significant transient or recurrent
solar wind features are forecast. B. NOAA Solar Radiation Activity
Observation and Forecast Solar radiation, as observed by NOAA GOES-18 over
the past 24 hours, was below S-scale storm level thresholds. Solar
Radiation Storm Forecast for Dec 10-Dec 12 2025 Dec 10 Dec 11 Dec 12 S1 or
greater 15% 10% 5% Rationale: There is a slight chance for S1 (Minor) or
greater solar radiation storms on 10-11 Dec. C. NOAA Radio Blackout
Activity and Forecast Radio blackouts reaching the R1 levels were observed
over the past 24 hours. The largest was at Dec 09 2025 0058 UTC. Radio
Blackout Forecast for Dec 10-Dec 12 2025 Dec 10 Dec 11 Dec 12 R1-R2 65%
65% 65% R3 or greater 15% 15% 10% Rationale: R1-R2 (Minor-Moderate) radio
blackouts are likely, with a slight chance for R3 (Strong) or greater
events on 10-12 Dec.


--- MBSE BBS v1.1.6 (Linux-x86_64)
* Origin: Outpost BBS * Johnson City, TN (1:18/200)

:Product: 3-Day Forecast :Issued: 2025 Dec 13 0030 UTC # Prepared by the
U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, Space Weather Prediction Center # A. NOAA
Geomagnetic Activity Observation and Forecast The greatest observed 3 hr
Kp over the past 24 hours was 5 (NOAA Scale G1). The greatest expected 3
hr Kp for Dec 13-Dec 15 2025 is 4.67 (NOAA Scale G1). NOAA Kp index
breakdown Dec 13-Dec 15 2025 Dec 13 Dec 14 Dec 15 00-03UT 4.33 3.67 2.33
03-06UT 4.33 3.00 2.00 06-09UT 4.67 (G1) 2.67 2.00 09-12UT 3.67 2.67 2.00
12-15UT 2.67 2.67 2.00 15-18UT 2.67 2.00 2.00 18-21UT 3.33 2.00 2.00
21-00UT 3.67 2.67 2.33 Rationale: G1 (Minor) geomagnetic storm levels are
expected on 13 Dec due to ongoing CH HSS influence. B. NOAA Solar
Radiation Activity Observation and Forecast Solar radiation, as observed
by NOAA GOES-18 over the past 24 hours, was below S-scale storm level
thresholds. Solar Radiation Storm Forecast for Dec 13-Dec 15 2025 Dec 13
Dec 14 Dec 15 S1 or greater 5% 5% 1% Rationale: No S1 (Minor) or greater
solar radiation storms are expected. No significant active region activity
favorable for radiation storm production is forecast. C. NOAA Radio
Blackout Activity and Forecast Radio blackouts reaching the R1 levels were
observed over the past 24 hours. The largest was at Dec 12 2025 0505 UTC.
Radio Blackout Forecast for Dec 13-Dec 15 2025 Dec 13 Dec 14 Dec 15 R1-R2
55% 45% 35% R3 or greater 5% 1% 1% Rationale: R1-R2 (Minor-Moderate) radio
blackouts are likely on 13 Dec due to the potential of Region 4296 and
4294 near the W limb.


--- MBSE BBS v1.1.6 (Linux-x86_64)
* Origin: Outpost BBS * Johnson City, TN (1:18/200)

:Product: 3-Day Forecast :Issued: 2025 Dec 16 0030 UTC # Prepared by the
U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, Space Weather Prediction Center # A. NOAA
Geomagnetic Activity Observation and Forecast The greatest observed 3 hr
Kp over the past 24 hours was 3 (below NOAA Scale levels). The greatest
expected 3 hr Kp for Dec 16-Dec 18 2025 is 5.00 (NOAA Scale G1). NOAA Kp
index breakdown Dec 16-Dec 18 2025 Dec 16 Dec 17 Dec 18 00-03UT 1.67 1.67
5.00 (G1) 03-06UT 3.00 2.00 4.67 (G1) 06-09UT 2.67 2.00 4.00 09-12UT 2.00
2.00 3.67 12-15UT 2.00 3.00 3.00 15-18UT 1.33 3.33 3.00 18-21UT 0.67 4.00
2.67 21-00UT 1.67 4.33 3.33 Rationale: G1 (Minor) or greater geomagnetic
storms are expected on Dec 18 due to the passage of a coronal hole high
speed stream. B. NOAA Solar Radiation Activity Observation and Forecast
Solar radiation, as observed by NOAA GOES-18 over the past 24 hours, was
below S-scale storm level thresholds. Solar Radiation Storm Forecast for
Dec 16-Dec 18 2025 Dec 16 Dec 17 Dec 18 S1 or greater 1% 1% 1% Rationale:
No S1 (Minor) or greater solar radiation storms are expected. C. NOAA
Radio Blackout Activity and Forecast No radio blackouts were observed over
the past 24 hours. Radio Blackout Forecast for Dec 16-Dec 18 2025 Dec 16
Dec 17 Dec 18 R1-R2 20% 20% 20% R3 or greater 1% 1% 1% Rationale: No R1
(Minor) or greater radio blackouts are expected. No significant active
region flare activity is forecast.


--- MBSE BBS v1.1.6 (Linux-x86_64)
* Origin: Outpost BBS * Johnson City, TN (1:18/200)

:Product: 3-Day Forecast :Issued: 2025 Dec 19 0030 UTC # Prepared by the
U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, Space Weather Prediction Center # A. NOAA
Geomagnetic Activity Observation and Forecast The greatest observed 3 hr
Kp over the past 24 hours was 4 (below NOAA Scale levels). The greatest
expected 3 hr Kp for Dec 19-Dec 21 2025 is 3.00 (below NOAA Scale levels).
NOAA Kp index breakdown Dec 19-Dec 21 2025 Dec 19 Dec 20 Dec 21 00-03UT
3.00 2.67 1.67 03-06UT 3.00 2.67 1.33 06-09UT 2.67 2.33 1.33 09-12UT 2.00
1.67 1.33 12-15UT 1.67 1.67 1.67 15-18UT 1.33 1.33 1.33 18-21UT 1.33 2.00
1.67 21-00UT 2.67 2.00 1.33 Rationale: No G1 (Minor) or greater
geomagnetic storms are expected. No significant transient or recurrent
solar wind features are forecast. B. NOAA Solar Radiation Activity
Observation and Forecast Solar radiation, as observed by NOAA GOES-18 over
the past 24 hours, was below S-scale storm level thresholds. Solar
Radiation Storm Forecast for Dec 19-Dec 21 2025 Dec 19 Dec 20 Dec 21 S1 or
greater 1% 1% 1% Rationale: No S1 (Minor) or greater solar radiation
storms are expected. No significant active region activity favorable for
radiation storm production is forecast. C. NOAA Radio Blackout Activity
and Forecast No radio blackouts were observed over the past 24 hours.
Radio Blackout Forecast for Dec 19-Dec 21 2025 Dec 19 Dec 20 Dec 21 R1-R2
15% 15% 15% R3 or greater 1% 1% 1% Rationale: There is a slight chance for
R1-R2 (Minor-Moderate) radio blackouts through 20 Dec.


--- MBSE BBS v1.1.6 (Linux-x86_64)
* Origin: Outpost BBS * Johnson City, TN (1:18/200)

:Product: 3-Day Forecast :Issued: 2025 Dec 22 0030 UTC # Prepared by the
U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, Space Weather Prediction Center # A. NOAA
Geomagnetic Activity Observation and Forecast The greatest observed 3 hr
Kp over the past 24 hours was 5 (NOAA Scale G1). The greatest expected 3
hr Kp for Dec 22-Dec 24 2025 is 5.00 (NOAA Scale G1). NOAA Kp index
breakdown Dec 22-Dec 24 2025 Dec 22 Dec 23 Dec 24 00-03UT 3.67 4.67 (G1)
3.33 03-06UT 4.67 (G1) 4.67 (G1) 3.67 06-09UT 5.00 (G1) 3.67 3.67 09-12UT
3.67 3.67 3.00 12-15UT 2.67 2.67 3.33 15-18UT 3.67 1.67 3.33 18-21UT 3.67
2.67 3.67 21-00UT 4.67 (G1) 3.67 3.67 Rationale: G1 (Minor) geomagnetic
storms are likely on 22-23 Dec due to CH HSS influences. B. NOAA Solar
Radiation Activity Observation and Forecast Solar radiation, as observed
by NOAA GOES-18 over the past 24 hours, was below S-scale storm level
thresholds. Solar Radiation Storm Forecast for Dec 22-Dec 24 2025 Dec 22
Dec 23 Dec 24 S1 or greater 1% 1% 1% Rationale: No S1 (Minor) or greater
solar radiation storms are expected. No significant active region activity
favorable for radiation storm production is forecast. C. NOAA Radio
Blackout Activity and Forecast Radio blackouts reaching the R1 levels were
observed over the past 24 hours. The largest was at Dec 21 2025 1827 UTC.
Radio Blackout Forecast for Dec 22-Dec 24 2025 Dec 22 Dec 23 Dec 24 R1-R2
25% 25% 30% R3 or greater 1% 1% 1% Rationale: There is a chance for R1
(Minor) or greater radio blackouts through 24 Dec.


--- MBSE BBS v1.1.6 (Linux-x86_64)
* Origin: Outpost BBS * Johnson City, TN (1:18/200)

:Product: 3-Day Forecast
:Issued: 2025 Dec 30 0030 UTC
# Prepared by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, Space Weather Prediction Center
#
A. NOAA Geomagnetic Activity Observation and Forecast

The greatest observed 3 hr Kp over the past 24 hours was 3 (below NOAA
Scale levels).
The greatest expected 3 hr Kp for Dec 30-Jan 01 2026 is 5.00 (NOAA Scale
G1).

NOAA Kp index breakdown Dec 30-Jan 01 2026

Dec 30 Dec 31 Jan 01
00-03UT 1.33 1.67 5.00 (G1)
03-06UT 1.33 1.67 4.33
06-09UT 1.33 2.00 3.67
09-12UT 1.33 2.00 3.33
12-15UT 1.67 2.33 3.33
15-18UT 2.00 2.67 4.00
18-21UT 2.67 3.33 3.67
21-00UT 3.00 4.33 3.33

Rationale: No G1 (Minor) or greater geomagnetic storms are expected
through 31 Dec. G1 (Minor) geomagnetic storms are likely on 01 Jan due
to recurrent solar wind features combined with potential transient
features.

B. NOAA Solar Radiation Activity Observation and Forecast

Solar radiation, as observed by NOAA GOES-18 over the past 24 hours, was
below S-scale storm level thresholds.

Solar Radiation Storm Forecast for Dec 30-Jan 01 2026

Dec 30 Dec 31 Jan 01
S1 or greater 10% 10% 10%

Rationale: There is a slight chance for a flux above the S1 (Minor) or
greater threshold due to the flaring potential of the active regions on
the visible solar disk.

C. NOAA Radio Blackout Activity and Forecast

Radio blackouts reaching the R1 levels were observed over the past 24
hours. The largest was at Dec 29 2025 0651 UTC.

Radio Blackout Forecast for Dec 30-Jan 01 2026

Dec 30 Dec 31 Jan 01
R1-R2 55% 55% 55%
R3 or greater 10% 10% 10%

Rationale: R1/R2 (Minor-Moderate) radio blackouts are likely on 30-31
Dec and 01 Jan due to the flare potential of the current active regions.
There is a slight chance for isolated R3 (Strong) events during the
3-day period.



--- MBSE BBS v1.1.6 (Linux-x86_64)
* Origin: Outpost BBS * Johnson City, TN (1:18/200)

:Product: 3-Day Forecast
:Issued: 2026 Jan 02 0030 UTC
# Prepared by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, Space Weather Prediction Center
#
A. NOAA Geomagnetic Activity Observation and Forecast

The greatest observed 3 hr Kp over the past 24 hours was 3 (below NOAA
Scale levels).
The greatest expected 3 hr Kp for Jan 02-Jan 04 2026 is 6.00 (NOAA Scale
G2).

NOAA Kp index breakdown Jan 02-Jan 04 2026

Jan 02 Jan 03 Jan 04
00-03UT 3.67 5.00 (G1) 3.67
03-06UT 3.00 6.00 (G2) 3.33
06-09UT 2.67 6.00 (G2) 2.00
09-12UT 2.67 4.67 (G1) 3.00
12-15UT 2.33 4.00 3.00
15-18UT 2.00 3.00 2.00
18-21UT 2.33 3.00 3.33
21-00UT 4.67 (G1) 4.33 3.33

Rationale: G1-G2 (Minor-Moderate) geomagnetic storms are likely over
02-03 Jan due to anticipated influence from multiple CMEs that left the
Sun over 28-30 Dec.

B. NOAA Solar Radiation Activity Observation and Forecast

Solar radiation, as observed by NOAA GOES-18 over the past 24 hours, was
below S-scale storm level thresholds.

Solar Radiation Storm Forecast for Jan 02-Jan 04 2026

Jan 02 Jan 03 Jan 04
S1 or greater 20% 10% 10%

Rationale: There is a slight chance for S1 (Minor) or greater solar
radiation storms over 02-04 Jan due to multiple complex regions on the
solar disk.

C. NOAA Radio Blackout Activity and Forecast

No radio blackouts were observed over the past 24 hours.

Radio Blackout Forecast for Jan 02-Jan 04 2026

Jan 02 Jan 03 Jan 04
R1-R2 55% 55% 55%
R3 or greater 20% 20% 20%

Rationale: R1-R2 (Minor-Moderate) radio blackouts are likely over 02-04,
with a slight chance for R3 (Strong), primarily due to flare potential
from Regions 4325 and 4324.



--- MBSE BBS v1.1.6 (Linux-x86_64)
* Origin: Outpost BBS * Johnson City, TN (1:18/200)

:Product: 3-Day Forecast
:Issued: 2026 Jan 05 0030 UTC
# Prepared by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, Space Weather Prediction Center
#
A. NOAA Geomagnetic Activity Observation and Forecast

The greatest observed 3 hr Kp over the past 24 hours was 2 (below NOAA
Scale levels).
The greatest expected 3 hr Kp for Jan 05-Jan 07 2026 is 3.67 (below NOAA
Scale levels).

NOAA Kp index breakdown Jan 05-Jan 07 2026

Jan 05 Jan 06 Jan 07
00-03UT 1.67 2.33 1.67
03-06UT 2.67 1.67 1.67
06-09UT 2.33 1.67 1.33
09-12UT 3.67 1.33 1.33
12-15UT 2.33 1.33 1.33
15-18UT 1.00 1.33 1.33
18-21UT 1.33 1.00 1.67
21-00UT 2.67 0.67 1.33

Rationale: No G1 (Minor) or greater geomagnetic storms are expected.

B. NOAA Solar Radiation Activity Observation and Forecast

Solar radiation, as observed by NOAA GOES-18 over the past 24 hours, was
below S-scale storm level thresholds.

Solar Radiation Storm Forecast for Jan 05-Jan 07 2026

Jan 05 Jan 06 Jan 07
S1 or greater 10% 10% 10%

Rationale: There remains a slight chance for S1 (Minor) or greater solar radiation storms over 05-07 Jan.

C. NOAA Radio Blackout Activity and Forecast

No radio blackouts were observed over the past 24 hours.

Radio Blackout Forecast for Jan 05-Jan 07 2026

Jan 05 Jan 06 Jan 07
R1-R2 50% 50% 50%
R3 or greater 10% 10% 10%

Rationale: There exists a chance for R1-R2 (Minor-Moderate) radio
blackouts, with a slight chance for R3 (Strong), over 05-07 Jan.



--- MBSE BBS v1.1.6 (Linux-x86_64)
* Origin: Outpost BBS * Johnson City, TN (1:18/200)

:Product: 3-Day Forecast
:Issued: 2026 Jan 08 0030 UTC
# Prepared by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, Space Weather Prediction Center
#
A. NOAA Geomagnetic Activity Observation and Forecast

The greatest observed 3 hr Kp over the past 24 hours was 2 (below NOAA
Scale levels).
The greatest expected 3 hr Kp for Jan 08-Jan 10 2026 is 5.00 (NOAA Scale
G1).

NOAA Kp index breakdown Jan 08-Jan 10 2026

Jan 08 Jan 09 Jan 10
00-03UT 3.67 2.00 3.67
03-06UT 2.67 3.33 4.00
06-09UT 2.33 5.00 (G1) 3.33
09-12UT 2.33 4.67 (G1) 3.00
12-15UT 2.33 4.00 2.33
15-18UT 2.67 3.00 2.00
18-21UT 2.33 3.00 2.33
21-00UT 3.00 3.67 2.67

Rationale: G1 (Minor) or greater geomagnetic storms are anticipated on
09 Jan due to a coronal high speed stream interacting with a potential
glancing blow from a CME that left the Sun on 06 Jan.

B. NOAA Solar Radiation Activity Observation and Forecast

Solar radiation, as observed by NOAA GOES-18 over the past 24 hours, was
below S-scale storm level thresholds.

Solar Radiation Storm Forecast for Jan 08-Jan 10 2026

Jan 08 Jan 09 Jan 10
S1 or greater 10% 10% 10%

Rationale: There is a slight chance for a S1 (Minor) or greater solar
radiation storm 08-10 Jan.

C. NOAA Radio Blackout Activity and Forecast

No radio blackouts were observed over the past 24 hours.

Radio Blackout Forecast for Jan 08-Jan 10 2026

Jan 08 Jan 09 Jan 10
R1-R2 45% 45% 45%
R3 or greater 10% 10% 10%

Rationale: There is a chance for R1-R2 (Minor-Moderate) radio blackouts,
with a slight chance for R3 (Strong) or greater events, on 08-10 Jan.



--- MBSE BBS v1.1.7 (Linux-x86_64)
* Origin: Outpost BBS * Johnson City, TN (1:18/200)

:Product: 3-Day Forecast
:Issued: 2026 Jan 11 0030 UTC
# Prepared by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, Space Weather Prediction Center
#
A. NOAA Geomagnetic Activity Observation and Forecast

The greatest observed 3 hr Kp over the past 24 hours was 6 (NOAA Scale
G2).
The greatest expected 3 hr Kp for Jan 11-Jan 13 2026 is 5.67 (NOAA Scale
G2).

NOAA Kp index breakdown Jan 11-Jan 13 2026

Jan 11 Jan 12 Jan 13
00-03UT 5.33 (G1) 3.67 3.00
03-06UT 5.67 (G2) 3.00 3.67
06-09UT 5.00 (G1) 3.00 3.33
09-12UT 4.33 3.00 3.00
12-15UT 3.00 3.00 2.00
15-18UT 3.00 3.67 2.00
18-21UT 3.33 3.33 3.33
21-00UT 3.67 3.33 3.33

Rationale: G1 (Minor) and G2 (Moderate) geomagnetic storms are likely
over 11 Jan due to influence of CMEs that departed the Sun on 08 Jan
combined with an anticipated CH HSS.

B. NOAA Solar Radiation Activity Observation and Forecast

Solar radiation, as observed by NOAA GOES-18 over the past 24 hours, was
below S-scale storm level thresholds.

Solar Radiation Storm Forecast for Jan 11-Jan 13 2026

Jan 11 Jan 12 Jan 13
S1 or greater 1% 1% 1%

Rationale: No S1 (Minor) or greater solar radiation storms are expected.
No significant active region activity favorable for radiation storm
production is forecast.

C. NOAA Radio Blackout Activity and Forecast

No radio blackouts were observed over the past 24 hours.

Radio Blackout Forecast for Jan 11-Jan 13 2026

Jan 11 Jan 12 Jan 13
R1-R2 15% 15% 15%
R3 or greater 1% 1% 1%

Rationale: There exists a slight chance for R1-R2 (Minor-Moderate) radio blackouts over 11-13 Jan due primarily to the flare potential of Region
4336.



--- MBSE BBS v1.1.7 (Linux-x86_64)
* Origin: Outpost BBS * Johnson City, TN (1:18/200)

:Product: 3-Day Forecast
:Issued: 2026 Jan 14 0030 UTC
# Prepared by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, Space Weather Prediction Center
#
A. NOAA Geomagnetic Activity Observation and Forecast

The greatest observed 3 hr Kp over the past 24 hours was 4 (below NOAA
Scale levels).
The greatest expected 3 hr Kp for Jan 14-Jan 16 2026 is 3.67 (below NOAA
Scale levels).

NOAA Kp index breakdown Jan 14-Jan 16 2026

Jan 14 Jan 15 Jan 16
00-03UT 3.67 2.33 1.67
03-06UT 3.00 3.00 1.33
06-09UT 3.00 2.00 1.33
09-12UT 2.67 2.00 1.33
12-15UT 2.00 1.67 1.33
15-18UT 2.33 2.00 1.33
18-21UT 2.00 2.00 1.67
21-00UT 2.00 2.33 1.67

Rationale: No G1 (Minor) or greater geomagnetic storms are expected.

B. NOAA Solar Radiation Activity Observation and Forecast

Solar radiation, as observed by NOAA GOES-18 over the past 24 hours, was
below S-scale storm level thresholds.

Solar Radiation Storm Forecast for Jan 14-Jan 16 2026

Jan 14 Jan 15 Jan 16
S1 or greater 1% 1% 1%

Rationale: No S1 (Minor) or greater solar radiation storms are expected.


C. NOAA Radio Blackout Activity and Forecast

No radio blackouts were observed over the past 24 hours.

Radio Blackout Forecast for Jan 14-Jan 16 2026

Jan 14 Jan 15 Jan 16
R1-R2 25% 25% 25%
R3 or greater 1% 1% 1%

Rationale: There is a chance (25%) R1-R2 (Minor-Moderate) radio
blackouts on 14-16 Jan.



--- MBSE BBS v1.1.7 (Linux-x86_64)
* Origin: Outpost BBS * Johnson City, TN (1:18/200)