• 3 Day Space Weather Forecast

    From Sean Dennis@1:18/200 to All on Tue May 27 00:19:02 2025
    :Product: 3-Day Forecast
    :Issued: 2025 May 27 0030 UTC
    # Prepared by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, Space Weather Prediction Center
    #
    A. NOAA Geomagnetic Activity Observation and Forecast

    The greatest observed 3 hr Kp over the past 24 hours was 3 (below NOAA
    Scale levels).
    The greatest expected 3 hr Kp for May 27-May 29 2025 is 5.00 (NOAA Scale
    G1).

    NOAA Kp index breakdown May 27-May 29 2025

    May 27 May 28 May 29
    00-03UT 2.00 1.67 4.00
    03-06UT 2.67 3.67 4.00
    06-09UT 2.67 5.00 (G1) 3.33
    09-12UT 1.67 4.67 (G1) 3.00
    12-15UT 1.67 3.67 2.33
    15-18UT 1.00 3.00 2.00
    18-21UT 1.00 3.33 2.00
    21-00UT 2.67 4.00 3.33

    Rationale: G1 (Minor) or greater geomagnetic storms are likely on 28 May
    due to CH HSS onset. No significant transient or recurrent solar wind
    features are forecast.

    B. NOAA Solar Radiation Activity Observation and Forecast

    Solar radiation, as observed by NOAA GOES-18 over the past 24 hours, was
    below S-scale storm level thresholds.

    Solar Radiation Storm Forecast for May 27-May 29 2025

    May 27 May 28 May 29
    S1 or greater 15% 15% 15%

    Rationale: There is a slight chance for the greater than 10 MeV proton
    flux to reach S1 (Minor) levels over 27-29 May.

    C. NOAA Radio Blackout Activity and Forecast

    Radio blackouts reaching the R1 levels were observed over the past 24
    hours. The largest was at May 26 2025 1306 UTC.

    Radio Blackout Forecast for May 27-May 29 2025

    May 27 May 28 May 29
    R1-R2 70% 70% 70%
    R3 or greater 30% 30% 30%

    Rationale: R1-R2 (Minor-Moderate) radio blackouts are likely, with a
    chance for isolated R3 (Strong or greater) events over 27-29 May.



    --- MBSE BBS v1.1.1 (Linux-x86_64)
    * Origin: Outpost BBS * Johnson City, TN (1:18/200)
  • From Sean Dennis@1:18/200 to All on Fri May 30 00:19:02 2025
    :Product: 3-Day Forecast
    :Issued: 2025 May 30 0030 UTC
    # Prepared by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, Space Weather Prediction Center
    #
    A. NOAA Geomagnetic Activity Observation and Forecast

    The greatest observed 3 hr Kp over the past 24 hours was 7 (NOAA Scale
    G3).
    The greatest expected 3 hr Kp for May 30-Jun 01 2025 is 5.67 (NOAA Scale
    G2).

    NOAA Kp index breakdown May 30-Jun 01 2025

    May 30 May 31 Jun 01
    00-03UT 5.00 (G1) 4.67 (G1) 4.00
    03-06UT 5.67 (G2) 4.33 4.67 (G1)
    06-09UT 5.67 (G2) 4.00 4.00
    09-12UT 5.00 (G1) 3.33 3.67
    12-15UT 3.00 3.00 2.67
    15-18UT 3.33 2.33 2.00
    18-21UT 3.33 2.33 2.00
    21-00UT 3.67 4.00 3.33

    Rationale: G1-G2 (Minor-Moderate) geomagnetic storms are expected on 30
    May due to influence from a negative polarity coronal hole. G1 (Minor) conditions are again likely on 31 May - 01 Jun due to waning coronal
    hole effects.

    B. NOAA Solar Radiation Activity Observation and Forecast

    Solar radiation, as observed by NOAA GOES-18 over the past 24 hours, was
    below S-scale storm level thresholds.

    Solar Radiation Storm Forecast for May 30-Jun 01 2025

    May 30 May 31 Jun 01
    S1 or greater 10% 10% 10%

    Rationale: There is a slight chance for S1 (Minor) or greater solar
    radiation storms over 30 May - 01 Jun.

    C. NOAA Radio Blackout Activity and Forecast

    No radio blackouts were observed over the past 24 hours.

    Radio Blackout Forecast for May 30-Jun 01 2025

    May 30 May 31 Jun 01
    R1-R2 50% 50% 50%
    R3 or greater 10% 10% 10%

    Rationale: There is a chance for R1-R2 (Minor-Moderate) radio blackouts,
    with a slight chance for R3 (Strong), over 30 May - 01 Jun.



    --- MBSE BBS v1.1.1 (Linux-x86_64)
    * Origin: Outpost BBS * Johnson City, TN (1:18/200)
  • From Sean Dennis@1:18/200 to All on Mon Jun 2 00:19:01 2025
    :Product: 3-Day Forecast
    :Issued: 2025 Jun 02 0030 UTC
    # Prepared by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, Space Weather Prediction Center
    #
    A. NOAA Geomagnetic Activity Observation and Forecast

    The greatest observed 3 hr Kp over the past 24 hours was 8 (NOAA Scale
    G4).
    The greatest expected 3 hr Kp for Jun 02-Jun 04 2025 is 7.67 (NOAA Scale
    G4).

    NOAA Kp index breakdown Jun 02-Jun 04 2025

    Jun 02 Jun 03 Jun 04
    00-03UT 7.00 (G3) 4.33 4.00
    03-06UT 7.67 (G4) 5.00 (G1) 4.00
    06-09UT 6.67 (G3) 4.67 (G1) 3.33
    09-12UT 6.33 (G2) 4.67 (G1) 3.00
    12-15UT 5.00 (G1) 4.67 (G1) 3.00
    15-18UT 4.67 (G1) 4.33 3.33
    18-21UT 5.33 (G1) 4.00 3.00
    21-00UT 4.33 4.00 2.67

    Rationale: UP to G4 (Severe) geomagnetic storms are likely on 02 Jun
    due to effects from a CME that left the Sun on 31 May. G1-G2
    (Minor-Moderate) geomagnetic storms are likely on 03 Jun due to coronal
    hole influence.

    B. NOAA Solar Radiation Activity Observation and Forecast

    Solar radiation, as observed by NOAA GOES-18 over the past 24 hours, was
    above S-scale storm level thresholds.

    Solar Radiation Storm Forecast for Jun 02-Jun 04 2025

    Jun 02 Jun 03 Jun 04
    S1 or greater 99% 75% 60%

    Rationale: S1-S2 (Minor-Moderate) solar radiation storms are likely
    persist over 02-03 Jun becoming likely on 04 Jun.

    C. NOAA Radio Blackout Activity and Forecast

    No radio blackouts were observed over the past 24 hours.

    Radio Blackout Forecast for Jun 02-Jun 04 2025

    Jun 02 Jun 03 Jun 04
    R1-R2 65% 65% 65%
    R3 or greater 15% 15% 15%

    Rationale: R1-R2 (Minor-Moderate) radio blackouts are likely, with a
    slight chance for R3 (Strong), over 02-04 Jun.



    --- MBSE BBS v1.1.1 (Linux-x86_64)
    * Origin: Outpost BBS * Johnson City, TN (1:18/200)
  • From Sean Dennis@1:18/200 to All on Thu Jun 5 00:19:02 2025
    :Product: 3-Day Forecast
    :Issued: 2025 Jun 05 0030 UTC
    # Prepared by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, Space Weather Prediction Center
    #
    A. NOAA Geomagnetic Activity Observation and Forecast

    The greatest observed 3 hr Kp over the past 24 hours was 5 (NOAA Scale
    G1).
    The greatest expected 3 hr Kp for Jun 05-Jun 07 2025 is 5.67 (NOAA Scale
    G2).

    NOAA Kp index breakdown Jun 05-Jun 07 2025

    Jun 05 Jun 06 Jun 07
    00-03UT 4.67 (G1) 3.33 3.33
    03-06UT 5.67 (G2) 4.00 3.67
    06-09UT 4.67 (G1) 3.67 3.00
    09-12UT 4.00 3.00 2.33
    12-15UT 3.33 3.00 2.00
    15-18UT 3.00 2.00 3.00
    18-21UT 4.00 2.00 3.67
    21-00UT 4.00 2.67 4.67 (G1)

    Rationale: G1 to G2 (Minor-Moderate) geomagnetic storming is likely on
    05 Jun due to waning CME and CH HSS influences. G1 (Minor) geomagnetic
    storming is likely again on 07 Jun due to CME influences from the 04 Jun filament eruption.

    B. NOAA Solar Radiation Activity Observation and Forecast

    Solar radiation, as observed by NOAA GOES-18 over the past 24 hours, was
    below S-scale storm level thresholds.

    Solar Radiation Storm Forecast for Jun 05-Jun 07 2025

    Jun 05 Jun 06 Jun 07
    S1 or greater 10% 10% 10%

    Rationale: A slight chance for S1 (Minor) solar radiation storms will
    persist through 07 Jun given the flare potential and history of AR 4100
    in particular.

    C. NOAA Radio Blackout Activity and Forecast

    Radio blackouts reaching the R1 levels were observed over the past 24
    hours. The largest was at Jun 04 2025 2328 UTC.

    Radio Blackout Forecast for Jun 05-Jun 07 2025

    Jun 05 Jun 06 Jun 07
    R1-R2 45% 45% 45%
    R3 or greater 10% 10% 10%

    Rationale: A chance for R1-2 (Minor-Moderate) radio blackouts, with a
    slight chance for an isolated R3 (Strong) event, will persist through 07
    Jun.



    --- MBSE BBS v1.1.1 (Linux-x86_64)
    * Origin: Outpost BBS * Johnson City, TN (1:18/200)
  • From Sean Dennis@1:18/200 to All on Sun Jun 8 00:19:01 2025
    :Product: 3-Day Forecast
    :Issued: 2025 Jun 08 0030 UTC
    # Prepared by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, Space Weather Prediction Center
    #
    A. NOAA Geomagnetic Activity Observation and Forecast

    The greatest observed 3 hr Kp over the past 24 hours was 5 (NOAA Scale
    G1).
    The greatest expected 3 hr Kp for Jun 08-Jun 10 2025 is 5.00 (NOAA Scale
    G1).

    NOAA Kp index breakdown Jun 08-Jun 10 2025

    Jun 08 Jun 09 Jun 10
    00-03UT 4.67 (G1) 4.00 3.67
    03-06UT 4.00 4.00 3.00
    06-09UT 3.33 5.00 (G1) 2.67
    09-12UT 3.67 3.67 2.33
    12-15UT 2.33 3.33 2.00
    15-18UT 2.67 2.33 2.33
    18-21UT 3.00 2.67 2.33
    21-00UT 3.00 3.00 2.33

    Rationale: G1 (Minor) geomagnetic storms are likely on 08-09 Jun due to transient influence.

    B. NOAA Solar Radiation Activity Observation and Forecast

    Solar radiation, as observed by NOAA GOES-18 over the past 24 hours, was
    below S-scale storm level thresholds.

    Solar Radiation Storm Forecast for Jun 08-Jun 10 2025

    Jun 08 Jun 09 Jun 10
    S1 or greater 5% 5% 5%

    Rationale: No S1 (Minor) or greater solar radiation storms are expected.
    No significant active region activity favorable for radiation storm
    production is forecast.

    C. NOAA Radio Blackout Activity and Forecast

    No radio blackouts were observed over the past 24 hours.

    Radio Blackout Forecast for Jun 08-Jun 10 2025

    Jun 08 Jun 09 Jun 10
    R1-R2 30% 35% 35%
    R3 or greater 5% 5% 5%

    Rationale: A chance exists for R1-R2 (Minor-Moderate) radio blackouts
    over 08-10 Jun.



    --- MBSE BBS v1.1.1 (Linux-x86_64)
    * Origin: Outpost BBS * Johnson City, TN (1:18/200)
  • From Sean Dennis@1:18/200 to All on Wed Jun 11 00:19:02 2025
    :Product: 3-Day Forecast
    :Issued: 2025 Jun 11 0030 UTC
    # Prepared by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, Space Weather Prediction Center
    #
    A. NOAA Geomagnetic Activity Observation and Forecast

    The greatest observed 3 hr Kp over the past 24 hours was 3 (below NOAA
    Scale levels).
    The greatest expected 3 hr Kp for Jun 11-Jun 13 2025 is 4.00 (below NOAA
    Scale levels).

    NOAA Kp index breakdown Jun 11-Jun 13 2025

    Jun 11 Jun 12 Jun 13
    00-03UT 2.33 2.33 3.67
    03-06UT 3.00 2.67 3.33
    06-09UT 2.67 1.67 3.33
    09-12UT 2.33 2.00 2.67
    12-15UT 1.33 2.00 2.67
    15-18UT 1.00 2.00 2.67
    18-21UT 3.33 2.00 3.00
    21-00UT 4.00 2.67 2.33

    Rationale: No G1 (Minor) or greater geomagnetic storms are expected. No significant transient or recurrent solar wind features are forecast.

    B. NOAA Solar Radiation Activity Observation and Forecast

    Solar radiation, as observed by NOAA GOES-18 over the past 24 hours, was
    below S-scale storm level thresholds.

    Solar Radiation Storm Forecast for Jun 11-Jun 13 2025

    Jun 11 Jun 12 Jun 13
    S1 or greater 5% 5% 5%

    Rationale: No S1 (Minor) or greater solar radiation storms are expected.
    No significant active region activity favorable for radiation storm
    production is forecast.

    C. NOAA Radio Blackout Activity and Forecast

    No radio blackouts were observed over the past 24 hours.

    Radio Blackout Forecast for Jun 11-Jun 13 2025

    Jun 11 Jun 12 Jun 13
    R1-R2 35% 35% 35%
    R3 or greater 5% 5% 5%

    Rationale: There is a chance for R1-R2 (Minor-Moderate) radio blackouts
    all three days.



    --- MBSE BBS v1.1.1 (Linux-x86_64)
    * Origin: Outpost BBS * Johnson City, TN (1:18/200)
  • From Rug Rat@1:135/250 to Sean Dennis on Fri Jun 13 00:28:39 2025
    Keeping my fingers crossed the band will be in better shape for ARRL Field Day!

    Rug Rat (Brent Hendricks)
    Blog and Forums - www.catracing.org
    IMAGE BBS! 3.0 - bbs.catracing.org 6400
    C-Net Amiga BBS - bbs.catracing.org 6840
    --- CNet/5
    * Origin: The Rat's Den BBS (1:135/250)
  • From Sean Dennis@1:18/200 to All on Sat Jun 14 00:19:01 2025
    :Product: 3-Day Forecast
    :Issued: 2025 Jun 14 0030 UTC
    # Prepared by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, Space Weather Prediction Center
    #
    A. NOAA Geomagnetic Activity Observation and Forecast

    The greatest observed 3 hr Kp over the past 24 hours was 6 (NOAA Scale
    G2).
    The greatest expected 3 hr Kp for Jun 14-Jun 16 2025 is 6.00 (NOAA Scale
    G2).

    NOAA Kp index breakdown Jun 14-Jun 16 2025

    Jun 14 Jun 15 Jun 16
    00-03UT 4.67 (G1) 5.00 (G1) 4.67 (G1)
    03-06UT 5.33 (G1) 4.33 4.00
    06-09UT 5.67 (G2) 3.67 3.33
    09-12UT 4.33 3.33 3.00
    12-15UT 3.33 2.67 3.00
    15-18UT 4.67 (G1) 3.00 2.33
    18-21UT 5.00 (G1) 3.00 2.33
    21-00UT 6.00 (G2) 4.00 3.00

    Rationale: Periods of G1-G2 (Minor-Moderate) geomagnetic storms are
    expected on 14 Jun due to CME and CH HSS influences. Periods of G1
    (Minor) storming are likely on 15-16 Jun due to CH HSS influences.

    B. NOAA Solar Radiation Activity Observation and Forecast

    Solar radiation, as observed by NOAA GOES-18 over the past 24 hours, was
    below S-scale storm level thresholds.

    Solar Radiation Storm Forecast for Jun 14-Jun 16 2025

    Jun 14 Jun 15 Jun 16
    S1 or greater 5% 5% 5%

    Rationale: No S1 (Minor) or greater solar radiation storms are expected.
    No significant active region activity favorable for radiation storm
    production is forecast.

    C. NOAA Radio Blackout Activity and Forecast

    Radio blackouts reaching the R1 levels were observed over the past 24
    hours. The largest was at Jun 13 2025 2110 UTC.

    Radio Blackout Forecast for Jun 14-Jun 16 2025

    Jun 14 Jun 15 Jun 16
    R1-R2 40% 40% 40%
    R3 or greater 5% 5% 5%

    Rationale: There is a chance for R1-R2 (Minor-Moderate) radio blackouts
    over 14-16 Jun.



    --- MBSE BBS v1.1.1 (Linux-x86_64)
    * Origin: Outpost BBS * Johnson City, TN (1:18/200)
  • From Sean Dennis@1:18/200 to All on Tue Jun 17 00:19:02 2025
    :Product: 3-Day Forecast
    :Issued: 2025 Jun 17 0030 UTC
    # Prepared by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, Space Weather Prediction Center
    #
    A. NOAA Geomagnetic Activity Observation and Forecast

    The greatest observed 3 hr Kp over the past 24 hours was 4 (below NOAA
    Scale levels).
    The greatest expected 3 hr Kp for Jun 17-Jun 19 2025 is 4.33 (below NOAA
    Scale levels).

    NOAA Kp index breakdown Jun 17-Jun 19 2025

    Jun 17 Jun 18 Jun 19
    00-03UT 3.00 3.33 3.33
    03-06UT 3.67 3.00 2.00
    06-09UT 2.67 2.00 2.00
    09-12UT 2.67 2.33 3.00
    12-15UT 2.33 2.67 3.00
    15-18UT 1.67 3.33 3.33
    18-21UT 0.67 4.00 3.33
    21-00UT 1.00 4.33 3.33

    Rationale: No G1 (Minor) or greater geomagnetic storms are expected. No significant transient or recurrent solar wind features are forecast.

    B. NOAA Solar Radiation Activity Observation and Forecast

    Solar radiation, as observed by NOAA GOES-18 over the past 24 hours, was
    below S-scale storm level thresholds.

    Solar Radiation Storm Forecast for Jun 17-Jun 19 2025

    Jun 17 Jun 18 Jun 19
    S1 or greater 30% 15% 5%

    Rationale: There is a decreasing chance for S1 (Minor) or greater solar radiation storms over the next three days.

    C. NOAA Radio Blackout Activity and Forecast

    Radio blackouts reaching the R2 levels were observed over the past 24
    hours. The largest was at Jun 16 2025 0938 UTC.

    Radio Blackout Forecast for Jun 17-Jun 19 2025

    Jun 17 Jun 18 Jun 19
    R1-R2 75% 75% 70%
    R3 or greater 30% 30% 30%

    Rationale: R1-R2 (Minor-Moderate) radio blackouts are expected, with a
    chance for R3 (Strong) or greater events, over 17-19 Jun.



    --- MBSE BBS v1.1.1 (Linux-x86_64)
    * Origin: Outpost BBS * Johnson City, TN (1:18/200)
  • From Sean Dennis@1:18/200 to All on Fri Jun 20 00:19:01 2025
    :Product: 3-Day Forecast
    :Issued: 2025 Jun 20 0030 UTC
    # Prepared by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, Space Weather Prediction Center
    #
    A. NOAA Geomagnetic Activity Observation and Forecast

    The greatest observed 3 hr Kp over the past 24 hours was 4 (below NOAA
    Scale levels).
    The greatest expected 3 hr Kp for Jun 20-Jun 22 2025 is 5.00 (NOAA Scale
    G1).

    NOAA Kp index breakdown Jun 20-Jun 22 2025

    Jun 20 Jun 21 Jun 22
    00-03UT 2.33 2.67 1.67
    03-06UT 4.33 2.00 1.33
    06-09UT 5.00 (G1) 2.33 1.33
    09-12UT 4.33 2.33 1.33
    12-15UT 3.33 2.33 1.67
    15-18UT 3.33 2.33 1.33
    18-21UT 2.33 2.33 1.67
    21-00UT 3.67 2.67 1.33

    Rationale: An isolated period of G1 (Minor) geomagnetic storms are
    likely on 20 Jun due to positive polarity CH HSS influences and possible influences from a CME that left the Sun on 17 Jun.

    B. NOAA Solar Radiation Activity Observation and Forecast

    Solar radiation, as observed by NOAA GOES-18 over the past 24 hours, was
    below S-scale storm level thresholds.

    Solar Radiation Storm Forecast for Jun 20-Jun 22 2025

    Jun 20 Jun 21 Jun 22
    S1 or greater 10% 10% 10%

    Rationale: There is a slight chance for S1 (Minor) solar radiation
    storms over 20-22 Jun.

    C. NOAA Radio Blackout Activity and Forecast

    Radio blackouts reaching the R3 levels were observed over the past 24
    hours. The largest was at Jun 19 2025 2350 UTC.

    Radio Blackout Forecast for Jun 20-Jun 22 2025

    Jun 20 Jun 21 Jun 22
    R1-R2 65% 65% 65%
    R3 or greater 15% 15% 15%

    Rationale: R1-R2 (Minor-Moderate) radio blackouts are expected, with a
    slight chance for R3 (Strong) or greater events, over 20-22 Jun.



    --- MBSE BBS v1.1.1 (Linux-x86_64)
    * Origin: Outpost BBS * Johnson City, TN (1:18/200)
  • From Sean Dennis@1:18/200 to All on Mon Jun 23 00:19:02 2025
    :Product: 3-Day Forecast
    :Issued: 2025 Jun 23 0030 UTC
    # Prepared by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, Space Weather Prediction Center
    #
    A. NOAA Geomagnetic Activity Observation and Forecast

    The greatest observed 3 hr Kp over the past 24 hours was 4 (below NOAA
    Scale levels).
    The greatest expected 3 hr Kp for Jun 23-Jun 25 2025 is 4.67 (NOAA Scale
    G1).

    NOAA Kp index breakdown Jun 23-Jun 25 2025

    Jun 23 Jun 24 Jun 25
    00-03UT 2.67 3.00 4.67 (G1)
    03-06UT 2.00 3.67 4.67 (G1)
    06-09UT 2.00 2.00 4.00
    09-12UT 2.67 2.67 4.00
    12-15UT 3.67 2.67 4.67 (G1)
    15-18UT 2.67 2.67 4.67 (G1)
    18-21UT 2.67 2.67 4.67 (G1)
    21-00UT 3.00 2.00 4.00

    Rationale: Periods of G1 (Minor) geomagnetic storms are likely on 25 Jun
    due to the onset of negative polarity CH HSS influences.

    B. NOAA Solar Radiation Activity Observation and Forecast

    Solar radiation, as observed by NOAA GOES-18 over the past 24 hours, was
    below S-scale storm level thresholds.

    Solar Radiation Storm Forecast for Jun 23-Jun 25 2025

    Jun 23 Jun 24 Jun 25
    S1 or greater 10% 10% 10%

    Rationale: There is a slight chance for S1 (Minor) solar radiation
    storms over 23-25 Jun due to eruptive potential from multiple regions on
    the visible disk.

    C. NOAA Radio Blackout Activity and Forecast

    No radio blackouts were observed over the past 24 hours.

    Radio Blackout Forecast for Jun 23-Jun 25 2025

    Jun 23 Jun 24 Jun 25
    R1-R2 45% 45% 45%
    R3 or greater 10% 10% 10%

    Rationale: There is a chance for R1-R2 (Minor-Moderate) radio blackouts,
    and a slight chance for R3 (Strong) or greater events, over 23-25 Jun.



    --- MBSE BBS v1.1.1 (Linux-x86_64)
    * Origin: Outpost BBS * Johnson City, TN (1:18/200)
  • From Sean Dennis@1:18/200 to All on Thu Jun 26 00:19:02 2025
    :Product: 3-Day Forecast
    :Issued: 2025 Jun 26 0030 UTC
    # Prepared by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, Space Weather Prediction Center
    #
    A. NOAA Geomagnetic Activity Observation and Forecast

    The greatest observed 3 hr Kp over the past 24 hours was 4 (below NOAA
    Scale levels).
    The greatest expected 3 hr Kp for Jun 26-Jun 28 2025 is 5.33 (NOAA Scale
    G1).

    NOAA Kp index breakdown Jun 26-Jun 28 2025

    Jun 26 Jun 27 Jun 28
    00-03UT 5.33 (G1) 4.00 3.67
    03-06UT 5.00 (G1) 4.67 (G1) 3.33
    06-09UT 4.00 4.00 3.00
    09-12UT 3.67 3.33 2.67
    12-15UT 3.00 2.33 2.33
    15-18UT 3.00 2.33 2.33
    18-21UT 4.00 2.67 2.67
    21-00UT 5.00 (G1) 3.00 2.67

    Rationale: G1 (Minor) geomagnetic storming is likely, with a chance for
    an insolated G2 (Moderate) storming period, on 26-27 June due to
    negative polarity CH HSS effects.

    B. NOAA Solar Radiation Activity Observation and Forecast

    Solar radiation, as observed by NOAA GOES-18 over the past 24 hours, was
    below S-scale storm level thresholds.

    Solar Radiation Storm Forecast for Jun 26-Jun 28 2025

    Jun 26 Jun 27 Jun 28
    S1 or greater 5% 5% 5%

    Rationale: No S1 (Minor) or greater solar radiation storms are expected.
    No significant active region activity favorable for radiation storm
    production is forecast.

    C. NOAA Radio Blackout Activity and Forecast

    No radio blackouts were observed over the past 24 hours.

    Radio Blackout Forecast for Jun 26-Jun 28 2025

    Jun 26 Jun 27 Jun 28
    R1-R2 30% 35% 35%
    R3 or greater 5% 5% 5%

    Rationale: A chance for R1-R2 (Minor-Moderate) radio blackouts, with a
    slight chance for X-class flares (R3-Strong), will persist through 28
    June.



    --- MBSE BBS v1.1.1 (Linux-x86_64)
    * Origin: Outpost BBS * Johnson City, TN (1:18/200)
  • From Sean Dennis@1:18/200 to All on Sun Jun 29 00:19:02 2025
    :Product: 3-Day Forecast
    :Issued: 2025 Jun 29 0030 UTC
    # Prepared by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, Space Weather Prediction Center
    #
    A. NOAA Geomagnetic Activity Observation and Forecast

    The greatest observed 3 hr Kp over the past 24 hours was 3 (below NOAA
    Scale levels).
    The greatest expected 3 hr Kp for Jun 29-Jul 01 2025 is 2.67 (below NOAA
    Scale levels).

    NOAA Kp index breakdown Jun 29-Jul 01 2025

    Jun 29 Jun 30 Jul 01
    00-03UT 2.67 1.67 1.33
    03-06UT 2.33 1.67 1.67
    06-09UT 2.33 1.67 1.33
    09-12UT 2.00 1.33 1.33
    12-15UT 1.33 1.33 1.67
    15-18UT 1.67 1.33 1.67
    18-21UT 2.00 1.33 1.33
    21-00UT 2.00 1.33 1.33

    Rationale: No G1 (Minor) or greater geomagnetic storms are expected. No significant transient or recurrent solar wind features are forecast.

    B. NOAA Solar Radiation Activity Observation and Forecast

    Solar radiation, as observed by NOAA GOES-18 over the past 24 hours, was
    below S-scale storm level thresholds.

    Solar Radiation Storm Forecast for Jun 29-Jul 01 2025

    Jun 29 Jun 30 Jul 01
    S1 or greater 5% 5% 5%

    Rationale: No S1 (Minor) or greater solar radiation storms are expected.
    No significant active region activity favorable for radiation storm
    production is forecast.

    C. NOAA Radio Blackout Activity and Forecast

    No radio blackouts were observed over the past 24 hours.

    Radio Blackout Forecast for Jun 29-Jul 01 2025

    Jun 29 Jun 30 Jul 01
    R1-R2 25% 25% 25%
    R3 or greater 5% 5% 5%

    Rationale: There is a chance for R1-R2 (Minor-Moderate) radio blackouts
    through the period.



    --- MBSE BBS v1.1.1 (Linux-x86_64)
    * Origin: Outpost BBS * Johnson City, TN (1:18/200)
  • From Sean Dennis@1:18/200 to All on Wed Jul 2 00:19:02 2025
    :Product: 3-Day Forecast
    :Issued: 2025 Jul 02 0030 UTC
    # Prepared by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, Space Weather Prediction Center
    #
    A. NOAA Geomagnetic Activity Observation and Forecast

    The greatest observed 3 hr Kp over the past 24 hours was 3 (below NOAA
    Scale levels).
    The greatest expected 3 hr Kp for Jul 02-Jul 04 2025 is 5.33 (NOAA Scale
    G1).

    NOAA Kp index breakdown Jul 02-Jul 04 2025

    Jul 02 Jul 03 Jul 04
    00-03UT 4.33 4.67 (G1) 2.67
    03-06UT 5.33 (G1) 4.33 4.00
    06-09UT 5.00 (G1) 3.33 3.00
    09-12UT 4.00 2.67 2.67
    12-15UT 3.00 2.33 1.67
    15-18UT 3.00 2.67 1.67
    18-21UT 3.67 3.00 2.00
    21-00UT 4.67 (G1) 3.67 2.67

    Rationale: G1 (Minor) geomagnetic storm levels are likely on 02-03 Jul
    due to the arrival of the 28 Jun CME.

    B. NOAA Solar Radiation Activity Observation and Forecast

    Solar radiation, as observed by NOAA GOES-18 over the past 24 hours, was
    below S-scale storm level thresholds.

    Solar Radiation Storm Forecast for Jul 02-Jul 04 2025

    Jul 02 Jul 03 Jul 04
    S1 or greater 5% 1% 1%

    Rationale: No S1 (Minor) or greater solar radiation storms are expected.
    No significant active region activity favorable for radiation storm
    production is forecast.

    C. NOAA Radio Blackout Activity and Forecast

    No radio blackouts were observed over the past 24 hours.

    Radio Blackout Forecast for Jul 02-Jul 04 2025

    Jul 02 Jul 03 Jul 04
    R1-R2 20% 15% 15%
    R3 or greater 5% 1% 1%

    Rationale: A slight chance for R1-R2 (Minor-Moderate) radio blackouts
    due to isolated M-class flare activity will persist through 04 July.



    --- MBSE BBS v1.1.1 (Linux-x86_64)
    * Origin: Outpost BBS * Johnson City, TN (1:18/200)
  • From Sean Dennis@1:18/200 to All on Sat Jul 5 00:19:01 2025
    :Product: 3-Day Forecast
    :Issued: 2025 Jul 05 0030 UTC
    # Prepared by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, Space Weather Prediction Center
    #
    A. NOAA Geomagnetic Activity Observation and Forecast

    The greatest observed 3 hr Kp over the past 24 hours was 4 (below NOAA
    Scale levels).
    The greatest expected 3 hr Kp for Jul 05-Jul 07 2025 is 3.00 (below NOAA
    Scale levels).

    NOAA Kp index breakdown Jul 05-Jul 07 2025

    Jul 05 Jul 06 Jul 07
    00-03UT 3.00 2.33 3.00
    03-06UT 2.67 2.67 3.00
    06-09UT 2.33 2.67 2.00
    09-12UT 2.00 2.00 2.00
    12-15UT 2.33 2.00 2.00
    15-18UT 2.33 1.00 1.00
    18-21UT 2.33 2.00 0.67
    21-00UT 2.67 2.33 1.67

    Rationale: No G1 (Minor) or greater geomagnetic storms are expected. No significant transient or recurrent solar wind features are forecast.

    B. NOAA Solar Radiation Activity Observation and Forecast

    Solar radiation, as observed by NOAA GOES-18 over the past 24 hours, was
    below S-scale storm level thresholds.

    Solar Radiation Storm Forecast for Jul 05-Jul 07 2025

    Jul 05 Jul 06 Jul 07
    S1 or greater 1% 1% 1%

    Rationale: No S1 (Minor) or greater solar radiation storms are expected.
    No significant active region activity favorable for radiation storm
    production is forecast.

    C. NOAA Radio Blackout Activity and Forecast

    No radio blackouts were observed over the past 24 hours.

    Radio Blackout Forecast for Jul 05-Jul 07 2025

    Jul 05 Jul 06 Jul 07
    R1-R2 10% 10% 10%
    R3 or greater 1% 1% 1%

    Rationale: There is a slight chance for R1-R2 (Minor-Moderate) radio
    blackouts over 05-07 Jul.



    --- MBSE BBS v1.1.1 (Linux-x86_64)
    * Origin: Outpost BBS * Johnson City, TN (1:18/200)