ACUS11 KWNS 142230
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 142229=20
OKZ000-TXZ000-150000-

Mesoscale Discussion 0428
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0529 PM CDT Tue Apr 14 2026

Areas affected...Northwest Texas into southern Oklahoma

Concerning...Tornado Watch 110...

Valid 142229Z - 150000Z

The severe weather threat for Tornado Watch 110 continues.

SUMMARY...A corridor of more focused hail/wind threat is expected
from northwest Texas into southwest Oklahoma along the outflow from
the initial storm clusters.

DISCUSSION...Initial warm sector storm development from northwest TX
into southwest OK has produced a cold pool/outflow based on earlier
radar velocity signatures from KFDR, as well as current surface
observations. The existing cold pool plus expanding anvil shading
with increasing storms across northwest TX suggest that storms will
likely track along the outflow and focus a corridor of large hail
and severe gust potential this evening with repeat storm clusters.

Farther northwest, storms are forming along the surface dryline into
western OK. A pocket of mid-upper 60s dewpoints and surface
temperatures in the low-mid 80s will support large buoyancy in
advance of this convection for the next 2-3 hours. The orientation
of the dryline largely parallel to the mid-upper flow suggests storm interactions and some upscale growth is probable. Also, if storms
continue to expand to the south-southeast of this area, rain-cooled
air will spread northwest and limit the eastward extent of the
severe threat with these dryline storms.

..Thompson.. 04/14/2026

...Please see https://urldefense.com/v3/__http://www.spc.noaa.gov__;!!DZ3fj= g!5kX5KSmS1A4UnQAluh4HfqebT27wP_crklsQVvuIstV5GdPxmVQti7yP8Fv1WuH3qIeKCI4wH= BzXbmiP3yOHyCaqQiY$ for graphic product...

ATTN...WFO...OUN...LUB...AMA...

LAT...LON 34689739 34349756 33859841 33659923 33569987 33520028
33900039 34250032 35369969 35979901 36509825 36449796
36089791 35559841 35139866 34879855 34859823 34959805
35069780 35039748 34689739=20

MOST PROBABLE PEAK TORNADO INTENSITY...UP TO 95 MPH
MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...65-80 MPH
MOST PROBABLE PEAK HAIL SIZE...2.00-3.50 IN


=3D =3D =3D
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