ACUS11 KWNS 142346
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 142346=20
TXZ000-150115-

Mesoscale Discussion 0432
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0646 PM CDT Tue Apr 14 2026

Areas affected...The Big Country and Edwards Plateau of Texas

Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 111...

Valid 142346Z - 150115Z

The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 111
continues.

SUMMARY...Storm coverage in WW #111 will likely be limited the
remainder of the evening.

DISCUSSION...Satellite imagery and surface observations show
widespread clouds east of a dryline, with relatively cool surface
temperatures mostly in the the 70s. Thunderstorms have developed
recently along the retreating dryline just southwest of Midland.=20
However, these storms may struggle to persist, and new storm
development will be limited as a result of lingering convective
inhibition this evening from the Edwards Plateau into the Big
Country. Farther south, there is some potential for a supercell to
cross the Rio Grande and make it into Val Verde Co. (near Del Rio)
00-01z, with an attendant threat for large hail and severe outflow
gusts.

Given the questions about storm intensity/persistence across much of
WW #111, some/most of the watch could be removed near and after 01z.

..Thompson.. 04/14/2026

...Please see https://urldefense.com/v3/__http://www.spc.noaa.gov__;!!DZ3fj= g!4XybRAyA9VXYOOA56vY4zKpGzHoHx_UVUGeaadupWPPzVFMrrjSCvhH_NLQiJ3YttVyaqwSOI= 5n5osKhbG-sBlzDhBo$ for graphic product...

ATTN...WFO...OUN...EWX...SJT...LUB...MAF...

LAT...LON 31360266 33110116 33650032 33319985 32980005 32290058
31560129 30780134 29650016 29190017 29180075 29770143
30620258 31360266=20

MOST PROBABLE PEAK TORNADO INTENSITY...UP TO 95 MPH
MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...55-70 MPH
MOST PROBABLE PEAK HAIL SIZE...1.50-2.50 IN


=3D =3D =3D
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