ACUS11 KWNS 150223
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 150223=20
MIZ000-150400-

Mesoscale Discussion 0438
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0923 PM CDT Tue Apr 14 2026

Areas affected...Central into southern Lower Michigan

Concerning...Tornado Watch 113...

Valid 150223Z - 150400Z

The severe weather threat for Tornado Watch 113 continues.

SUMMARY...Aside from damaging winds and isolated large hail,
discrete storms near the warm front will pose the greatest tornado
risk if they can intensify.

DISCUSSION...Discrete convection has been noted ahead of the linear
segments moving southeastward off of Lake Michigan. Given their
proximity to the warm front and the large SRH on KGRR VAD (over 400
0-1 km), these storms will pose the greatest risk for tornadoes
should they intensify. A strong tornado is possible within this
environment.

..Wendt.. 04/15/2026

...Please see https://urldefense.com/v3/__http://www.spc.noaa.gov__;!!DZ3fj= g!6CUZYGSwNI8VaygUS5dqau0ZyXXG3-TyfSrjxYPlFA_Aw-tbErJxh1dQKm8BHgH0Sf6-QCF0j= Fgmb9NrnZSbaitFEhQ$ for graphic product...

ATTN...WFO...DTX...GRR...

LAT...LON 42958614 43158594 43378504 43358493 43318470 43088452
42588408 42348394 42178403 42158460 42458538 42958614=20

MOST PROBABLE PEAK TORNADO INTENSITY...100-130 MPH
MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...65-80 MPH
MOST PROBABLE PEAK HAIL SIZE...1.00-1.75 IN


=3D =3D =3D
To unsubscribe from WX-STORM and you already have a login, go to https://lists.illinois.edu and use the "Unsubscribe" link. Otherwise email Chris Novy at cnovy@cox.net and ask to be removed from WX-STORM.

--- SBBSecho 3.28-Linux
* Origin: Capitol City Online (1:2320/107)