• MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 1044

    From COD Weather Processor@1:2320/107 to wx-storm@lists.illinois.edu on Tue Jun 9 07:36:03 2026
    ACUS11 KWNS 090735
    SWOMCD
    SPC MCD 090735=20
    MOZ000-KSZ000-090830-

    Mesoscale Discussion 1044
    NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
    0235 AM CDT Tue Jun 09 2026

    Areas affected...Central into southwest Missouri

    Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 292...

    Valid 090735Z - 090830Z

    The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 292
    continues.

    SUMMARY...Occasional strong wind gusts may still produce damage, but
    the threat will become more isolated with time. No additional
    watches are expected this morning.

    DISCUSSION...A general weakening trend has been observed in MRMS
    CAPPI data with an MCS moving into central/southwest Missouri.
    Slightly greater MLCAPE is still present in southwest Missouri and
    the convection may tend to move in that direction, but given the 1-2
    F surface cooling that has occurred in the last hour suggests MLCIN
    is also increasing. The expectation is for a few strong wind gusts
    will be possible, but a more organized severe threat is becoming
    less likely. No downstream watches are anticipated this morning.

    ..Wendt.. 06/09/2026

    ...Please see https://urldefense.com/v3/__http://www.spc.noaa.gov__;!!DZ3fj= g!4GR98OoXYtZYwB7XrR7keWo4jUQhZ26Rz4M1EZkr8qvDvHNCaYjJrtM_XJbgMVP1d_rW08l6x= 1w2vZiYZrPedaPPWuw$ for graphic product...

    ATTN...WFO...LSX...SGF...EAX...

    LAT...LON 37279453 37649457 37919462 38089405 38389373 38859367
    38949341 38889272 38469247 37579301 37339342 37219413
    37209439 37279453=20

    MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...UP TO 60 MPH


    =3D =3D =3D
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    * Origin: Capitol City Online (1:2320/107)