ACUS11 KWNS 102050
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 102050=20
MOZ000-IAZ000-102215-

Mesoscale Discussion 1071
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0350 PM CDT Wed Jun 10 2026

Areas affected...northern Missouri and south-central Iowa

Concerning...Tornado Watch 303...

Valid 102050Z - 102215Z

The severe weather threat for Tornado Watch 303 continues.

SUMMARY...Greatest tornado chances including strong tornado
potential is currently over far northern Missouri into south-central
Iowa. A strong tornado is possible.

DISCUSSION...Supercells have developed within the instability axis
and along the western fringe of the previous rain-cooled air mass.=20
This air mass has recovered as expected over the last few hours with
ample sunshine and 70s F dewpoints. 0-1 SRH on the order of 150
m2/s2 along with a very unstable air mass will continue to support a
tornado risk for several hours as storms move across the recovering
outflow area. As long as storms remain discrete, a few tornadoes
appear probable.

..Jewell.. 06/10/2026

...Please see https://urldefense.com/v3/__http://www.spc.noaa.gov__;!!DZ3fj= g!8EW1F-wEQ_WnBw2CmWaVoco4BDs6RTFpBDRoKaqagd87atfnljOaYY8kzmB1tzIWyUHkDk5M7= Pvxmw25ENkSTmO2XeE$ for graphic product...

ATTN...WFO...LSX...DVN...DMX...EAX...

LAT...LON 39759452 39929471 40299443 40949370 41169325 41149272
41009248 40529241 39879209 39559132 39359127 39209136
39349203 39409223 39689287 39729374 39759452=20

MOST PROBABLE PEAK TORNADO INTENSITY...120-145 MPH
MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...65-80 MPH
MOST PROBABLE PEAK HAIL SIZE...2.00-3.50 IN


=3D =3D =3D
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