ACUS11 KWNS 110124
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 110124=20
MOZ000-KSZ000-NEZ000-110300-

Mesoscale Discussion 1079
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0824 PM CDT Wed Jun 10 2026

Areas affected...central to northeast Kansas into parts of northwest
Missouri.

Concerning...Tornado Watch 303...

Valid 110124Z - 110300Z

The severe weather threat for Tornado Watch 303 continues.

SUMMARY...A broken band of supercells will move eastward through the
evening with a continued threat for all severe weather hazards.

DISCUSSION...Several supercells are ongoing from central Kansas into
northeast Kansas this evening. The environment remains very
favorable across this region with ~3000 J/kg MLCAPE and ~ 50 knots
of effective shear on the 00Z TOP RAOB. In addition, a clockwise
turned low-level hodograph will support a continued tornado threat
with a STP around 2 to 2.5. Surface-based instability will lessen as
the boundary layer cools this evening, but as the low-level jet
strengthens, low-level shear will continue to increase. Therefore,
some tornado threat will likely persist through the evening. Tornado
watch 303 will need to be extended a few hours to address this
threat.=20

Later this evening, the surface front that these storms developed
along will move northward as a surface low deepens and moves
northward across Kansas. As this occurs, ongoing supercells will
likely become disconnected from the synoptic front and start to
dissipate as CINH increases amid rising heights across the region.

..Bentley.. 06/11/2026

...Please see https://urldefense.com/v3/__http://www.spc.noaa.gov__;!!DZ3fj= g!6R9wWgV0TL9iYYju2TA4SjqNNUsiUQqxoPmqwSlpGB-8NMZDr_4FprTN0n7MsScxjmqMxHjug= Bb7Sb6fBFt2WEs5xD8$ for graphic product...

ATTN...WFO...EAX...OAX...TOP...ICT...

LAT...LON 38219838 39309710 40149535 40289430 39989369 39349435
38489570 38179682 38129745 38219838=20

MOST PROBABLE PEAK TORNADO INTENSITY...100-125 MPH
MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...65-80 MPH
MOST PROBABLE PEAK HAIL SIZE...1.50-2.50 IN


=3D =3D =3D
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