• MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 1105

    From COD Weather Processor@1:2320/107 to wx-storm@lists.illinois.edu on Fri Jun 12 03:42:41 2026
    ACUS11 KWNS 120342
    SWOMCD
    SPC MCD 120342=20
    OHZ000-120515-

    Mesoscale Discussion 1105
    NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
    1042 PM CDT Thu Jun 11 2026

    Areas affected...northern Ohio

    Concerning...Severe potential...Watch likely=20

    Valid 120342Z - 120515Z

    Probability of Watch Issuance...95 percent

    SUMMARY...Watch 320 was issued for the risk of damaging wind gusts.

    DISCUSSION...A mature MCS continues east this evening across
    northern Indiana and southern Michigan. This squall line will
    continue eastward along the instability gradient into the overnight
    hours. This squall line is likely near peak intensity now within the
    most favorable thermodynamic and kinematic environment. Temperatures
    are only in the mid to upper 70s across northern Ohio which will
    likely result in some weakening of the line as it moves east.
    Nonetheless, it will still pose a threat for damaging winds given
    the well-established squall line and at least moderate instability
    continuing into the overnight hours where dewpoints are in the upper
    60s to low 70s.

    ..Bentley/Smith.. 06/12/2026

    ...Please see https://urldefense.com/v3/__http://www.spc.noaa.gov__;!!DZ3fj= g!4_HAwvww4f0fNt70ytlyV3XmyOAyRBWXy4g8fZ7b78tpo1jICQCaGehhcmenJHtxu7Mu1Grk5= s_2uQ1Z2REZmMAdwB4$ for graphic product...

    ATTN...WFO...CLE...

    LAT...LON 41688379 41648296 41838141 41568059 41098057 40978109
    40758175 40678255 40748299 40908386 41688379=20

    MOST PROBABLE PEAK TORNADO INTENSITY...UP TO 90 MPH
    MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...55-70 MPH


    =3D =3D =3D
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    * Origin: Capitol City Online (1:2320/107)