ACUS11 KWNS 272049
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 272048
OHZ000-INZ000-272245-

Mesoscale Discussion 1770
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0348 PM CDT Mon Jul 27 2026

Areas affected...portions of eastern IN into western OH

Concerning...Severe potential...Watch possible

Valid 272048Z - 272245Z

Probability of Watch Issuance...60 percent

SUMMARY...Severe potential could spread southeast into parts of
western Ohio over the next couple of hours. Trends are being
monitored and a downstream severe thunderstorm watch could be
needed.

DISCUSSION...A cluster of storms over central Indiana have shown
some indications of intensification over the past 30 minutes both in
radar imagery and based on recent local storm reports relaying gusts
near 60 mph and localized wind damage. This activity will continue
to spread east/southeast along a strong instability gradient within
enhanced northwesterly flow aloft. While the environment overall is
favorable for organized severe convection, uncertainty remains given
persistent cloud cover across western OH and some indications of
continued capping per SPC mesoanalysis. Nevertheless, temperatures
in the 80s across far southwest OH and dewpoints in the low/mid 70s
F could support at least sporadic strong gusts. Trends will be
monitored for possible watch issuance over the next 1-2 hours.

..Leitman/Hart.. 07/27/2026

...Please see https://urldefense.com/v3/__http://www.spc.noaa.gov__;!!DZ3fjg!--u6JuStrCoCJZG9z1xTpyhQHIP_Vu-K7MnOfmnazLboDHAfJOd4XrRSxpmFQKkssratPvBozHS9rvniUDCaxZttzO4$ for graphic product...

ATTN...WFO...ILN...IWX...IND...

LAT...LON 41048484 40858440 40558385 40018361 39518355 39118381
39128459 39268518 39828585 40388634 40668615 40948587
41118556 41048484

MOST PROBABLE PEAK TORNADO INTENSITY...UP TO 90 MPH
MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...55-70 MPH
MOST PROBABLE PEAK HAIL SIZE...1.00-1.75 IN


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