• OUTLOOK: Nws National Hurricane Center Miami Fl

    From Mike Powell@1:2320/107 to All on Thu Aug 27 09:40:18 2026
    ABNT20 KNHC 271158
    TWOAT

    Tropical Weather Outlook
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    800 AM EDT Thu Aug 27 2026

    For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

    Central Tropical Atlantic (AL96):
    Satellite and microwave imagery indicate that an area of low
    pressure, located about midway between Africa and the Windward
    Islands, has become better organized overnight. If the current
    trends continue, advisories could be initiated on a short-lived
    tropical storm later today. However, environmental conditions are
    expected to become hostile beginning on Friday, likely ending its
    chances for further development.
    * Formation chance through 48 hours...high...90 percent.
    * Formation chance through 7 days...high...90 percent.

    $$
    Forecaster Blake

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    * Origin: capitolcityonline.net * KY, USA (1:2320/107)
  • From Mike Powell@1:2320/107 to All on Sun Aug 30 08:44:50 2026
    ABNT20 KNHC 301136
    TWOAT

    Tropical Weather Outlook
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    800 AM EDT Sun Aug 30 2026

    For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

    East of the Leeward Islands (Remnants of Dolly):
    A strong tropical wave, the remnants of Tropical Storm Dolly, is
    producing an area of showers and thunderstorms from Puerto Rico
    eastward across the Virgin Islands and the northern Leeward Islands.
    Satellite data and surface observations indicate that there are no
    signs of a closed surface circulation, and redevelopment is unlikely
    during the next day or two while the wave moves westward to
    west-northwestward at about 25 mph. The system should bring locally
    heavy rains and gusty winds to portions of the Leeward Islands, the
    Virgin Islands, and Puerto Rico over the next couple of days.
    Conditions may become more conducive for redevelopment by the middle
    of the week as the system reaches the southeastern Gulf of Mexico.

    * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
    * Formation chance through 7 days...low...20 percent.

    Northern Gulf of Mexico (AL97):
    Showers and thunderstorms associated with an area of low pressure
    located about 125 miles south of the coast of southeastern Louisiana
    have become more concentrated. However, current surface observations
    indicate that the system has not yet strengthened. Slow development
    of this system is possible during the next couple of days as it
    drifts westward to west-northwestward across the northern Gulf.
    Interests along the Louisiana and Upper Texas coasts should monitor
    the progress of this system.

    * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...30 percent.
    * Formation chance through 7 days...low...30 percent.

    $$
    Forecaster Beven

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  • From Mike Powell@1:2320/107 to All on Mon Aug 31 08:55:32 2026
    ABNT20 KNHC 311143
    TWOAT

    Tropical Weather Outlook
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    800 AM EDT Mon Aug 31 2026

    For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

    Northern Gulf of Mexico (AL97):
    An area of low pressure located a little more than 100 miles south
    of the coast of southern Louisiana continues to produce a small but concentrated area of showers and thunderstorms with some signs of organization. Additional development is expected as the low moves
    slowly west-northwestward, and a short-lived tropical depression or
    tropical storm is likely to form before the system reaches the Upper
    Texas or southwestern Louisiana coasts on Tuesday.

    Interests along the southwestern Louisiana and Upper Texas coasts
    should monitor the progress of this system, as tropical storm
    watches or warnings could be required for portions of the area later
    today. Regardless of development, this system is expected to bring
    locally heavy rainfall to portions of the Upper Texas and
    southwestern Louisiana coasts during the next couple of days. An Air
    Force Reserve reconnaissance aircraft is scheduled to investigate
    the system this morning. Additional information on this system,
    including gale warnings, can be found in High Seas Forecasts issued
    by the National Weather Service.

    * Formation chance through 48 hours...high...70 percent.
    * Formation chance through 7 days...high...70 percent.

    Near Hispaniola (Remnants of Dolly):
    A surface trough of low pressure (the remnants of Tropical Storm
    Dolly) is producing a disorganized area of showers and thunderstorms
    that extends from near Hispaniola eastward to the northern Leeward
    Islands. Redevelopment, if any, would be slow to occur during the
    next few days as the system encounters generally unfavorable
    upper-level winds while moving quickly west-northwestward at 20 to
    25 mph. Regardless, the system could bring locally heavy rains and
    gusty winds to portions of the Leeward Islands, the Virgin Islands,
    Puerto Rico, Hispaniola, and the Bahamas during the next couple of
    days.

    * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
    * Formation chance through 7 days...low...10 percent.

    &&
    High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service can be
    found under AWIPS header NFDHSFAT1, WMO header FZNT01 KWBC, and
    online at ocean.weather.gov/shtml/NFDHSFAT1.php

    $$
    Forecaster Reinhart

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  • From Mike Powell@1:2320/107 to All on Tue Sep 1 08:40:08 2026
    ABNT20 KNHC 011122
    TWOAT

    Tropical Weather Outlook
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    800 AM EDT Tue Sep 1 2026

    For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

    Active Systems:
    The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical
    Storm Edouard, located over the northwestern Gulf of Mexico.

    Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 7 days.

    &&
    Public Advisories on Tropical Storm Edouard are issued under WMO
    header WTNT35 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCPAT5.
    Forecast/Advisories on Tropical Storm Edouard are issued under WMO
    header WTNT25 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCMAT5.

    $$
    Forecaster Reinhart

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    * Origin: capitolcityonline.net * KY, USA (1:2320/107)
  • From Mike Powell@1:2320/107 to All on Thu Sep 3 08:46:08 2026
    ABNT20 KNHC 031123
    TWOAT

    Tropical Weather Outlook
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    800 AM EDT Thu Sep 3 2026

    For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

    Active Systems:
    The Weather Prediction Center has issued the last advisory on the
    remnants of Edouard, located inland over eastern Texas.

    Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 7 days.

    $$
    Forecaster Adams

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    * Origin: capitolcityonline.net * KY, USA (1:2320/107)
  • From Mike Powell@1:2320/107 to All on Sun Sep 6 08:41:40 2026
    ABNT20 KNHC 061126
    TWOAT

    Tropical Weather Outlook
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    800 AM EDT Sun Sep 6 2026

    For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

    Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 7 days.

    $$
    Forecaster Hagen

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    * Origin: capitolcityonline.net * KY, USA (1:2320/107)