ACUS11 KWNS 112024
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 112024
TNZ000-KYZ000-MSZ000-MOZ000-ARZ000-112300-

Mesoscale Discussion 2282
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0324 PM CDT Fri Sep 11 2026

Areas affected...Parts of the Mid-South

Concerning...Severe potential...Watch unlikely

Valid 112024Z - 112300Z

Probability of Watch Issuance...20 percent

SUMMARY...Thunderstorms should gradually increase in coverage
through the remainder of the afternoon into this evening. The
strongest storms will be capable of producing a few locally damaging
wind gusts.

DISCUSSION...Preceding a convectively augmented midlevel trough
moving slowly eastward across the Ozarks, isolated thunderstorms are
evolving along a north/south-oriented composite outflow/stationary
boundary in far eastern AR. Ahead of this activity, continued
diurnal heating amid lower 70s dewpoints will further destabilize
the pre-convective air mass, though overall buoyancy will be limited
by poor midlevel lapse rates. Nevertheless, the relatively focused
area of forcing for ascent and weakly veering wind profile accompanying/trailing a remnant MCV could promote a few strong
storms over the next few hours. The primary concern will be locally
damaging wind gusts with any loosely organized clusters that develop
through this evening.

..Weinman/Guyer.. 09/11/2026

...Please see https://urldefense.com/v3/__http://www.spc.noaa.gov__;!!DZ3fjg!71eqWZ_Ey_aO0bu9wKVwuh7mf0a24lZux_HpZTWM6hkvFrV00sGOERR2wdBvRijAx6LB-AK3nBMmrTt9Q1WLwZGc0TY$ for graphic product...

ATTN...WFO...PAH...MEG...

LAT...LON 35329051 35779018 36328990 36708955 36858914 36868881
36608823 36198803 35648814 34498889 34058943 34039006
34269046 34469072 34729077 35329051

MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...55-70 MPH


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--- scorpsmtpd
* Origin: capitolcityonline.net * KY, USA (1:2320/107)