ACUS11 KWNS 222225
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 222224=20
TXZ000-OKZ000-NMZ000-230000-

Mesoscale Discussion 0519
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0524 PM CDT Tue Apr 22 2025

Areas affected...Much of western Texas

Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 159...

Valid 222224Z - 230000Z

The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 159
continues.

SUMMARY...The severe threat continues across Severe Thunderstorm
Watch 159. Large hail and severe gusts are the main threats.

DISCUSSION...Multiple supercells have developed ahead of the dryline
across western TX, some with a history of severe wind and hail. At
the moment, the strongest storms are progressing across southern
parts of the TX Panhandle and the Trans Pecos region. The supercell
across Pecos County TX has rapidly intensified in the last hour and
has been exhibiting deviant rightward motion. This storm has the
best chance at producing a tornado over the next hour or so.

Storms may continue to develop across western TX, with storm mergers potentially supporting cold pool intensification and perhaps a
greater severe gust threat this evening.

..Squitieri.. 04/22/2025

...Please see https://urldefense.com/v3/__http://www.spc.noaa.gov__;!!DZ3fj= g!-h8q5SFxm7oDBVKnlq9-opMLXDEDgr-XFRHmApKLIRg2Oo0lwMlZNG6FgztVuAGRE1PZKXc3n= r2RiOERitUovyMxP-g$ for graphic product...

ATTN...WFO...OUN...EWX...SJT...LUB...AMA...MAF...

LAT...LON 30760348 33230296 34600199 35090144 35310073 35320000
34139980 32249997 30740008 29930048 29730111 29730173
29970250 30760348=20

MOST PROBABLE PEAK TORNADO INTENSITY...85-115 MPH
MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...65-80 MPH
MOST PROBABLE PEAK HAIL SIZE...1.50-2.50 IN


=3D =3D =3D
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